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Bitcoin extends sweeping rally; eyes $100K
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Tariff worries weigh on euro
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Asian chip stocks struggle on clamp-down fears
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, Nov 12 (Reuters) - Asian stocks eased while
the dollar held at four-month highs on Tuesday, though all the
excitement was centred on bitcoin as it soared to a record peak
underpinned by investor bets on assets that are likely to
benefit from Donald Trump's election win.
Investors anticipate Trump's second four-year term in office
will bring equities-boosting tax cuts and looser regulations,
lifting the world's biggest and best-known cryptocurrency,
bitcoin, to an all-time high of $89,637.
But the threat of possible tariffs from the new White House
administration has put the euro under pressure, with
the single currency touching near seven-month lows of $1.0687
overnight. It was last at $1.0658 in Asian hours on Tuesday.
The dollar on the other hand is expected to benefit from
some of the policies that will likely keep U.S. interest rates
relatively higher for longer. The dollar index, which
measures the greenback versus six peers, was at 105.57, just shy
of the 4-month high hit on Monday.
Vasu Menon, managing director of investment strategy at
OCBC, said the decisive win by Trump and the Republican party
removes the overhang of an unclear or a contested U.S. election
outcome.
"The medium-term outlook could become cloudier if Trump
pursues aggressive tariff hikes ... This could fuel inflation
eventually and stop the Fed from cutting rates. Tariffs also
carry the risk of retaliation from the major trading partners."
"But this is a story for another time and Trump's victory
has unleashed the animal spirit in markets for now," Menon said.
Data provider DDHQ projected on Monday that Trump's
Republican Party had won a majority in the U.S. House of
Representatives, signalling a majority for Republicans in both
chambers of Congress.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was down 1%, with Taiwan shares sliding
2% and South Korean stocks 1% lower.
Chip stocks in the region have been reeling this week after
Reuters reported that the U.S. ordered Taiwan Semiconductor
Manufacturing Co ( TSM ) to halt shipments of advanced chips
to Chinese customers that are often used in AI applications.
Japan's Nikkei was an outlier in the region and was
up 0.5% on a weak yen, which was hovering close to
more than three-month lows and last fetched 153.93 per dollar.
Overnight, Wall Street's main indexes notched record high
closes, with Tesla gaining around 9% after touching $1
trillion in market value on Friday on bets that the automaker
would benefit from CEO Elon Musk's backing of Trump.
Trump's victory and the election of pro-crypto candidates to
Congress have supercharged a bitcoin rally to record highs
closer to 90,000, and targeting $100,000 next. It was last at
$88,709.
"After such a performance, one could ask whether the Trump
trades are already played out? Our take is 'No', as we think
these trades still have plenty more legs," said Manish Kabra,
lead U.S. equities & multi-asset strategist at Societe Generale
in a note.
Meanwhile, Chinese shares inched higher, while Hong Kong
stocks slid 1%. Sentiment remained largely downbeat after
Beijing's latest stimulus package failed to deliver the direct
spending aimed at consumers that investors have been expecting.
On the macro side, investor focus will be on U.S. consumer
price inflation data on Wednesday, with a parade of Federal
Reserve speakers also due to speak this week, including Fed
Chair Jerome Powell on Thursday.
Markets are pricing in 87% chance of the Fed cutting rates
in December by 25 basis points.
In commodities, oil prices were little changed in early
trading as China's stimulus plan and oversupply concerns took
the wind out of markets in prior sessions.
Brent crude futures was at $71.88 a barrel, up 0.06%
while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures inched
0.09% higher to $68.10 a barrel.
Spot gold was steady in Asian hours at $2,624 per
ounce after touching its lowest level in a month on Monday.