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Asia stocks hover near highest since February 2021
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Dollar firms after hawkish tilt from some Fed policymakers
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Earnings focus now to be on tech firms
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Japan closes for holiday, trading in Asia likely to be
muted
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Asian stocks rose on Monday
as investors weighed last week's megacap earnings showing
significant spending on artificial intelligence, while the
dollar held near a three-month high after hawkish comments from
Federal Reserve policymakers.
Gold prices fell, edging further away from the record peak
it has been at most of last month, while oil prices rose after
OPEC+ decided to hold off production hikes in the first quarter
of next year, easing fears of a supply glut.
Investors are still focused on developments from last week,
including central bank meetings and the U.S.-China agreement on
a year-long trade truce that was within broad expectations. But
doubts remain if the truce will last for the full duration.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was 0.2% higher at 726.98, hovering near the
4-1/2-year high it touched last week. The index is up more than
27% this year, on course for its best year since 2017.
Japan markets are closed for a holiday with no cash
Treasuries trading, resulting in muted activity during Asian
hours.
HAWKISH FEDSPEAK
A clutch of Federal Reserve bank presidents on Friday aired
their discomfort with the U.S. central bank's decision to cut
interest rates, even as influential Fed Governor Christopher
Waller made the case for more policy easing to shore up a
weakening labour market.
Following the October monetary policy meeting last week, Fed
Chair Jerome Powell said an interest rate cut at the next
meeting in December was "not a foregone conclusion." Investors
had expected that move to be almost a done deal.
"We continue to think that the motivation for the rate cuts
is consistent with our premise for further dollar downside: the
U.S. economy will not outperform to the same degree as it did
before," said Goldman Sachs strategists in a note.
"That will lead to a weaker dollar over time given its
strong starting point."
Traders are now pricing a 68% chance of a rate cut in
December, down from a near certainty last week before the Fed
meeting, where the central bank lowered rates by 25 basis points
as expected.
That has left the dollar firmer. The euro last bought
$1.1524 at a three-month low. Sterling eased 0.27% to
$1.3134, while the yen was at 154.175 per U.S. dollar,
near its lowest since mid-February.
With the U.S. government shutdown set to extend this week,
there will be no data for job openings as well as nonfarm
payrolls.
The U.S. shutdown, which started on October 1, is now the
second-longest ever behind the 2018-2019 shutdown that lasted 35
days.
"The focus will be on the ADP employment report and the
employment component within the ISM PMIs to assess the health of
the U.S. labour market," said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at
IG.
SPOTLIGHT STILL ON EARNINGS SEASON
After a mixed bag of earnings from the megacap companies
that showed investors were keen to see a return on the extensive
capital spending on AI infrastructure, focus will be on tech
firms reporting this week.
Enthusiasm over AI has helped drive global stock markets but
investors are wary of potential overexuberance tied to the theme
and eager for evidence that AI investments are paying off.
Semiconductor firms Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ), Qualcomm ( QCOM )
and data analytics company Palantir Technologies ( PLTR )
are due to report. Other companies set to report next
week include McDonald's and Uber ( UBER ).
In commodities, gold was 0.4% lower at $3,985.35 per
ounce. Brent crude futures rose 0.49% to $65.10 a
barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at
$61.33 a barrel, up 0.61%.