(Updates to Asia afternoon)
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Yen perks up, JGB yields soar after BOJ Governor Ueda
comments
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US economic data releases to influence market sentiment
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Investors eye Fed Chair Powell's comments for US rate cut
clues
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, Dec 1 (Reuters) - Stocks fell on Monday after
a strong end to November as a bout of risk aversion gripped
markets even as U.S. rate-cut optimism remained intact, while
the beaten-down yen firmed and Japanese government bond yields
surged to their highest since 2008.
The spotlight in the currency market has been on the
Japanese yen, which strengthened to 155.55 per U.S.
dollar as Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda provided the
clearest signal yet that interest rate hike could be on the
cards soon.
Ueda said in a speech to business leaders that the central bank
would consider the "pros and cons" of raising rates at its next
policy meeting in two weeks.
After a strong comeback for equities in November, when
investors shrugged off worries of an AI bubble, traders were
looking for catalysts to continue any upward momentum, with the
focus this week on economic data.
U.S. stock futures slid, with S&P 500 futures down
0.7% and Nasdaq futures 0.8% lower. European futures
were also 0.3% lower. Cryptocurrencies bitcoin
and ether both slumped more than 5%, highlighting the
cooling risk appetite.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng, though, rose 0.7% but mood was
generally sober.
"There's no single headline driving today's risk-off tone,"
said Saxo's chief investment strategist Chaur Chanana, who
pointed to several pressure points, including rising JGB yields
and sliding cryptocurrencies.
"At the same time, weak China PMIs have revived stimulus
hopes, which is why Hong Kong stocks are bucking the regional
decline."
UEDA SPURS YEN STRENGTH
Ueda's comments strengthened the yen, pushed the Nikkei
down about 2% and Japanese government bond yields to
17-year highs.
The two-year JGB yield, the most sensitive to
the BOJ's policy rate, rose 3 basis points to 1.02%, while the
yield on 10-year JGBs rose 7 bps to 1.87%. Both
yields hit their highest since June 2008.
The market has been focusing on the yen for the last few
weeks, uncertain over the timing of the next interest rate hike
and concerned about fiscal policies under Prime Minister Sanae
Takaichi.
Traders have been wary of intervention to stem the yen's
decline in the wake of several verbal warnings from Tokyo
officials.
Fred Neumann, chief Asia economist at HSBC, said Ueda's
comments suggest that the BOJ is increasingly concerned about
the adverse effect of continued exchange rate depreciation on
consumer spending.
"Even if the BOJ hikes in December, which appears more
likely after Ueda's remarks today, investors will take a close
look at subsequent policy guidance. A hawkish hike in December
would go a long way to helping anchor exchange rate and bond
market expectations."
Investor focus this week will be on U.S. economic releases that
cover manufacturing and services activity as well as consumer
sentiment.
Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at StoneX in
Brisbane, said if the incoming data signalled a slowdown without
tipping into recession then sentiment would probably remain
upbeat while the U.S. dollar weakens as it typically does at
this time of year.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six other rivals, was at 99.414, little changed on the
day. The index has dropped 8% this year with much of the losses
coming in the first half of the year.
CONSUMER SPENDING IN FOCUS
Investors will watch out for comments from Federal Reserve
Chair Jerome Powell later in the day as they look for clues on
what the Fed will do when it meets next week.
Traders are pricing in an 87% chance of a cut after a slew of
dovish comments from policymakers in the last few days.
Attention will also be on holiday consumer spending as data
from Black Friday and Cyber Monday retail sales events trickle
in.
U.S. shoppers spent a record $11.8 billion online on Black
Friday, up 9.1% from 2024, according to Adobe Analytics, which
tracks visits shoppers make to online retail websites.
In commodities, oil prices rose after OPEC+ agreed to leave
oil output levels unchanged for the first quarter of 2026 as the
group slows its push to regain market share amid fears of a
looming supply glut.
Brent crude futures were 1% higher at $63.03 a
barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $59.16
a barrel, up 0.99%.
(Reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by
Muralikumar Anantharaman, Kate Mayberry and Lincoln Feast.)