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Nikkei on the cusp of 50,000 as Takaichi trade charges on
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Fiscal dove Takaichi to become Japan's PM; Yen slips
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Trump-Xi meeting next week, traders hope for trade
resolution
(Updates to Asia afternoon)
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Asian shares rose on
Tuesday as the prospect of easing trade tensions between the
world's top two economies boosted risk sentiment, while Sanae
Takaichi was set be elected Japan's next prime minister, lifting
the Nikkei and weighing on the yen.
U.S. President Donald Trump said he expects to reach a fair
trade deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping and downplayed
risks of a clash over the issue of Taiwan.
Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have weighed on
the markets in recent weeks, with investor focus now on Trump's
planned meeting with Xi on the sidelines of an economic
conference in South Korea next week.
The lingering hope that a resolution could be on the cards
lifted investor sentiment. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan hit an over
four-and-half-year high and was last up 0.94%. China stocks
rose 0.2% while Hong Kong's Hang Seng was 1%
higher in early trading.
Australian shares surged as investors snapped up
rare earths and critical minerals stocks after the country
signed a supply deal with the United States.
Japan's Nikkei rose to a record peak and was on the
cusp of hitting a landmark 50,000 points as the so-called
'Takaichi trade' showed no signs of stopping. A parliamentary
vote confirmed Takaichi as the nation's next prime minister.
INVESTORS BUY THE DIP
Investor sentiment was also hit hard last week as a clutch
of bad loans at U.S. regional banks spurred concerns over credit
risks that threatened to spill into the broader markets. The
prolonged U.S. government shutdown also weighed on risk assets.
But investors so far this week have shrugged off those
concerns and bought the dip, focusing on upcoming earnings from
several large firms and betting that trade tensions would ease.
"The market has hurdled the wall of worry with ease, with
new capital injected into risk and fresh oxygen into the
market's lungs," said Chris Weston, head of research at
Pepperstone.
Market expectation of the Federal Reserve cutting interest
rates in the next two meetings and comments from White House
economic advisor Kevin Hassett that the federal government
shutdown is likely to end this week also buoyed sentiment.
A broad rally sent all three major U.S. stock indexes to a
sharply higher close overnight with chip stocks hitting a
record high.
Analysts currently expect third-quarter S&P 500 earnings
growth, on aggregate, of 9.3% year-on-year, marking an
improvement over their 8.8% growth estimate as of October 1.
"We're quite bullish on equities as an asset class
globally," said Mixo Das, Asia Equity and Quant Strategist at
J.P. Morgan.
"I think the biggest driver of this is simply the sort
of policy easing that we're seeing ... the economy is not
anywhere close to being in a recession, and policy is still
easing very aggressively.
TAKAICHI WINS LOWER HOUSE VOTE TO BECOME JAPAN'S PM
Hardline conservative Sanae Takaichi was set to become
Japan's first female prime minister after winning a critical
vote in parliament's lower house.
Analysts expect Takaichi to be pro-stimulus and against
further hikes in interest rates, a negative for the yen and
bonds but a plus for equities.
The yen was last 0.4% weaker at 151.39 per dollar,
while also struggling against the euro and sterling.
The Bank of Japan is due to meet next week with traders
pricing in 20% chance of a hike, although Governor
Kazuo Ueda
has so far left his options open by offering few clues on
the timing of a rate hike.
Gold prices slipped 0.8% on the day but were still near the
record high it has been around in the recent weeks.