(Updates to Asia afternoon)
* Divided Fed stands pat on rates, long-end bonds slump
* Stocks stutter as worries on AI trade rattle markets
* Oil near $90/barrel amid Middle East hostilities
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, July 30 (Reuters) - Asian stocks struggled for
direction in volatile trading on Thursday after a week of market
turbulence sparked by AI jitters, as a divided Federal Reserve
stood pat on rates and left bond markets uncertain about the
next move.
Brent futures slipped below $90 per barrel, after
jumping over 7% a day earlier as fighting in the Middle East
escalated, although data showed tankers continued to make their
way out of the region despite the continued strikes.
The dollar wobbled after the U.S. central bank held rates
steady although the split decision left investors confused on
whether the Fed will see through rate hikes to combat inflation.
Yields on longer-dated U.S. Treasuries rose to 19-year
highs.
Nasdaq futures rose 0.4% while European futures
pointed to a muted open. Investor attention will be on policy
decision from the Bank of England, where the central bank is
expected to stand pat.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was last down 0.6% after swinging wildly between
gains and losses through the session. Japan's Nikkei was
0.24% higher, but set for a 4% drop in the week.
Asian chipmakers have been at the centre of attention this week
after a bruising selloff in South Korean equities wiped more
than $2 trillion off market value and heightened investor
anxiety over the payoff from huge AI investments.
"Uncertainty about U.S. monetary policy, the sharp
steepening of the Treasury yield curve, growing tensions in the
Middle East and continued worries about the semiconductor
industry and AI sector mean that markets are likely to stay
volatile in the near term," said Vasu Menon, managing director
of investment strategy at OCBC.
VOLATILE KOSPI SHOWS NO SIGNS OF EASING
The KOSPI was down 1% in choppy trading, on track for a
15% weekly slump, a selloff that prompted Finance Minister Koo
Yun-cheol to apologise for the rollout of single-stock leveraged
ETFs and led authorities to unveil market-stabilisation
measures.
"Given that the fundamental thesis remains intact, there
does appear to be an irrational, panic-like element to the
current selling," said Gina Kim, portfolio manager for emerging
market equities at Nordea Asset Management in Singapore.
Samsung Electronics ( SSNLF ) said it expects chip shortages
to worsen and extend into 2028 as the firm posted a more than
250-fold jump in chip profit, easing some nerves.
Earnings reports from mega caps Meta and Microsoft ( MSFT )
underscored sharply contrasting fortunes for companies
racing to build AI infrastructure.
Microsoft ( MSFT ) reassured investors it would continue generating
cash through fiscal 2027 despite heavy spending, sending its
shares higher, while Meta's stock fell after a 91% collapse in
second-quarter free cash flow.
Earnings from Amazon ( AMZN ) and Apple ( AAPL ) later on
Thursday will provide further clarity on the durability of the
AI trade.
FED LOOKING TO MARKETS FOR CUES
In a post-meeting media conference, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh
vowed to contain inflation but gave no indication of the steps
the central bank might take.
Warsh noted that bond yields had risen notably since the
Fed's last policy meeting, reflecting market expectations of
higher interest rates. He welcomed the move, while stressing
that it did not oblige the Fed to validate those expectations
with policy action.
"To me this is a way of saying the market has done the Fed's job
so far," said Blerina Uruci, chief U.S. economist at T. Rowe
Price.
"Ultimately, Warsh's hawkish tone will not be enough to
ensure price stability. The market will learn the hard way that
no forward guidance means Warsh and the FOMC will not deliver on
a policy outcome just because the market has priced it."
That confusion left yields on 30-year U.S. bonds
at 5.2039%, having hit their highest since June 2007 at 5.2273%
late in New York trading.
Fed funds futures now implied around a 60% chance
the Fed would lift rates at its next meeting in September and
had 33 basis points of tightening priced in by year-end.
"The Fed is likely to face ongoing questions around its
credibility," said Kerry Craig, global market strategist at J.P.
Morgan Asset Management.
"The gap between the Fed's rhetoric and its actions may pose
a challenge for market pricing. A new chair faces a divided
committee and a bond market that's starting to question the
central bank's resolve."
(Reporting by Ankur Banerjee and Rae Wee in Singapore; Editing
by Christian Schmollinger, Shri Navaratnam and Lincoln Feast.)