*
Japan's Nikkei rises in relief rally after priced-in
election
*
US dollar subdued as investors await tariff clarity
*
Fed independence remains a worry for investors
(Updates to Asia afternoon)
By Ankur Banerjee
SINGAPORE, July 22 (Reuters) - Asian share markets
drifted lower after scaling a near four-year peak on Tuesday
ahead of a slate of corporate earnings, while investors took
stock of tariff negotiations between the U.S. and its trading
partners.
The dithering mood is set to continue in Europe where
the focus will be on earnings from firms including SAP
and UniCredit. EUROSTOXX 50 futures and DAX
futures both dipped 0.5%, while FTSE futures
eased 0.3%.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
hit its highest level since October 2021 in
early Asian hours but was last down 0.4%. The index is up nearly
16% this year.
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq notched
record-high closes on Monday.
The Japanese markets returned to action after a holiday on
Monday following the weekend's election where the ruling
coalition suffered a defeat in upper house elections, although
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba vowed to remain in his post.
Japanese shares briefly jumped at the open
but reversed course to trade lower by Tuesday afternoon, as the
election results were largely priced in and were not as bad as
investors had feared.
The yen rallied 1% on Monday, recouping some of
the losses from past weeks and was last slightly weaker at
147.73 per dollar.
Kristina Clifton, an economist at the Commonwealth Bank of
Australia, said the weakening of Ishiba's leadership will open
the door to more fiscal expansion that is negative for Japanese
assets, including the yen.
"The bottom line is longer term Japanese government bond
yields and JPY can fall if concerns about Japan's fiscal
spending deepen."
Investor focus has been on tariff negotiations ahead of the
August 1 deadline with the European Union exploring a broader
set of possible countermeasures against the United States as
prospects for an acceptable agreement with Washington fade.
The most important deals for the global outlook are with the
EU and Japan, CBA's Clifton said.
"The USD reaction to the announcement of trade deals with
these countries would depend on the details of the deals in our
view," Clifton added, noting the dollar could turn down again
against the euro and the British pound.
The euro was steady at $1.1689, after rising 0.5%
in the previous session but still away from the near four-year
high it touched at the start of the month. The single currency
is up 13% this year as investors look for alternatives to U.S.
assets bruised by tariff uncertainties.
The dollar index, a measure against six other key
currencies, was at 97.905.
Investors are awaiting results this week from Wall Street
giants Alphabet and Tesla, as well as from
European heavyweights LVMH, and Roche, as
uncertainty over tariffs clouds the outlook.
The rumblings around the Federal Reserve's independence and
whether U.S. President Donald Trump will fire Fed Chair Jerome
Powell have kept investors on tenterhooks in recent weeks.
Trump appeared near the point of trying to fire Powell last
week, but backed off with a nod to the market disruption that
would likely follow.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Monday the
entire Federal Reserve needed to be examined as an institution
and whether it had been successful, further exacerbating
concerns about the independence of the U.S. central bank.
The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady in its July
meeting but might lower rates later in the year. Market focus
will be squarely on Powell's speech later on Tuesday for clues
about when the Fed might ease policy.
Goldman Sachs strategists expect the Fed to deliver three
consecutive 25-basis-point cuts starting in September, "provided
inflation expectations remain in check amidst worries about Fed
independence."
In commodities, Brent crude futures fell nearly 1%
to $68.56 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude
slipped 1% to $66.51 per barrel.