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Bund yields edge higher again after biggest jump since
1990's
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Euro steadies at 4-month high ahead of expected ECB rate
cut
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Stock markets take a breather as trade war tensions simmer
By Marc Jones
LONDON, March 6 (Reuters) - World financial markets
remained in a radical readjustment phase on Thursday after U.S.
President Donald Trump's shakeup of the transatlantic
relationship spurred a seismic half-a-trillion-euro shift in
German defense and infrastructure spending.
The European Central Bank was gearing up to cut its interest
rates again later.
That would normal suck up traders' attention. But with a
global bond market selloff still in full swing a day after the
10-year German Bund yield - a major driver of worldwide
borrowing costs - saw its biggest rise since the 1990s, that
remained core.
Those Bund yields were up 10 basis points at
2.88%, having gone as high as 2.929% on Wednesday. The euro was
resting at a 4-month high while European stocks
also took a breather after a 10% rally this
year.
"The reality is that I still don't think the enormity of the
(German) news has got close to being fully comprehended and
digested by global investors yet," said Deutsche Bank's Jim
Reid, who estimated that Wednesday's Bund yield spike was the
biggest move since German reunification.
"This is a seismic shift of the most epic proportions and
perhaps only fast money and nimble investors have responded so
far."
The global implications had been evident overnight.
Japan's 10-year government bond yield, another key driver of
worldwide borrowing costs, had hit a near 16-year high and the
U.S. 10-year Treasury note yield rose for a third
day too despite rising bets on more Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Focus also remained on the global trade war after 25% U.S.
tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada were imposed on
Tuesday along with fresh duties on Chinese goods, stoking fears
about economic growth.
But on Wednesday, the White House said President Trump would
exempt Mexican and Canadian carmakers from their countries'
tariffs for one month as long as they complied with existing
free trade rules.
That had led U.S. stocks sharply higher and shored up Asian
markets. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside
Japan was up 1.25%, while Tokyo's Nikkei
finished 0.8% higher.
China's blue-chip index rose 1.4% while Hong
Kong's Hang Seng Index surged over 3%, hitting its
highest in three years. The Hang Seng is up 20% so far this
year, by far the best performing major stock market in the
world.
ECB RESPONSE
The ECB's expected interest rate cut was looming large and
now had even more of a spotlight in the wake of the mass
rearmament drive in Germany and the rest of Europe.
The euro was steady at just over $1.08 just shy of
a four-month peak it had touched in early Asian trading. The
single currency is on course for a rise of more than 4% this
week, its strongest weekly performance since March 2009.
"This (ECB) meeting could be very interesting given the
current context," said Julien Lafargue, chief market strategist
at Barclays Private Bank.
Not only is the bank getting close to the so-called
"neutral" level of interest rates following recent cuts but,
"Christine Lagarde will most certainly be asked about how the
ECB intends to respond," to the European-wide increase in
defence spending, Lafargue said.
In commodities, gold prices were steady at $2,921.39 per
ounce as traders await the U.S. non-farm payrolls report on
Friday for cues on the Federal Reserve's policy path.
Oil prices tried to catch a break after stumbling in
previous sessions this week, undermined by a larger than
expected jump in U.S. crude stocks, OPEC+ plans to increase
output and U.S. tariffs on key oil supplies.
Brent futures hovered close to an over three-year
low touched on Wednesday.
($1 = 0.9247 euros)