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UK bond yields hit new highs
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Analysts point to Trump uncertainty for bond rout
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European stocks recover early losses, US stock markets
closed
By Nell Mackenzie
LONDON, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Government bonds remained
under pressure on Thursday and the dollar held steady near its
highest levels in more than a year as European stocks reversed
early losses.
The pound headed for its biggest three-day drop in nearly
two years, under pressure from a selloff in global bonds that
has hit gilts especially hard, driving yields to 16-1/2-year
highs, as concern mounts about Britain's finances.
Sterling was last down 0.5% at $1.230, having
touched its lowest since November 2023 earlier in the day.
Concern about rising inflation, reduced chances of a drop in
interest rates, uncertainty over how U.S. president-elect Donald
Trump will conduct foreign or economic policy, and the prospect
of trillions of dollars in extra debt sales have sent bond
yields soaring around the world this week.
This took European stocks lower at the open but
they reversed to trade up 0.36% as of 1315 GMT.
The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield eased
to 4.6526% from an overnight peak of 4.73%, which was the
highest level since April 2024.
"This rout is not a UK but a global phenomenon. Sovereign
debt is the elephant in the room. Will the UK achieve the growth
we'd all like to see? The markets are not convinced," said Russ
Mould, investment director of AJ Bell in London.
The U.S. dollar index, which gauges the currency
against sterling, the euro and four other major peers, edged up
to 109.09, sitting not too far from the highest level since
November 2022 of 109.54, reached a week ago.
PRESSURE POINTS
The latest boost for the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields
follows recent signs of resilience in the U.S. economy and
inflation, which prompted markets to reduce expectations for
Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.
Minutes of the Fed's December policy meeting, released on
Wednesday, showed officials were concerned that Trump's proposed
tariffs and immigration policies may prolong the fight against
inflation.
Selling in Treasuries on Wednesday accelerated after a CNN
report that Trump was considering declaring a national economic
emergency to provide a legal justification for a series of
universal levies on allies and adversaries.
Markets are fully pricing in just one 25-basis-point U.S.
rate cut in 2025, and see around a 60% chance of a second.
All that has combined to make global stock market sentiment
fragile, and Asian equities closed lower on Thursday.
Chinese stocks slipped as official data underscored
persistent deflationary pressure despite fresh government
consumption stimulus, intensifying a scramble for offshore
assets, while Hong Kong's shares closed at a one-month low.
Mainland Chinese blue chips and Hong Kong's Hang
Seng ended down 0.3% and 0.2% respectively.
Japan's Nikkei closed down almost 1%, as investors
sold stocks to book profits after a recent rally, with
chip-related shares dragging on the index the most.
U.S. stock markets are closed on Thursday to mark the
funeral of U.S. president Jimmy Carter. U.S. bond markets close
earlier at 1900 GMT.
On Friday, the closely watched U.S. monthly payrolls report
will provide clues on the Fed policy outlook.
China's yuan steadied near a 16-month low against the dollar
as the nation's central bank announced a record amount of
offshore yuan bill sales to support the currency.
"This move underscores Chinese policymakers' unwavering
preference for currency stability," said Shoki Omori, a
strategist at Mizuho Securities, predicting the Chinese currency
will firm to 7.22 per dollar by year-end.
Oil prices rose slightly on Thursday as investors factored
in firm winter fuel demand expectations despite large U.S. fuel
inventories and macroeconomic concerns.
Brent crude futures were up 38 cents, at $76.54 a
barrel by 1320 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures
CLc1 gained 32 cents, or 0.4%, to $73.64.
Gold prices climbed 0.5% to $2,675.00 at $2,663 an
ounce after hitting an overnight peak of $2,670.10, the highest
since Dec. 13.
Leading cryptocurrency bitcoin tumbled 1.73% around
$92,810, following a two-day slide of 7%.