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China stocks off lows after MOF calls news conference
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Shanghai Composite -4%; Hang Seng flat
(Updates prices to 0600 GMT)
By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, Oct 9 (Reuters) - Chinese shares slumped and
commodities were struggling to find a footing on Wednesday as
investors tempered expectations for a robust Chinese economic
recovery, while a downbeat outlook from New Zealand's central
bank sent the kiwi to a seven-week low.
The Shanghai Composite and blue-chip CSI300
nursed losses of around 4% in afternoon trade, paring
much larger falls when the finance ministry called a press
conference on fiscal policy and raised expectations of stimulus.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng bounced to flat and the
Australian dollar shed losses.
China's surging markets had turned suddenly fragile and
commodities from oil to metals fell on Tuesday when a news
conference from China's National Development and Reform
Commission yielded no major new stimulus details.
"To be fair only the Ministry of Finance or State Council
can adjust the budget," said Nick Ferres, chief investment
officer at Vantage Point Asset Management, as focus shifted to
the Oct. 12 announcement and Monday's market reaction.
Markets are looking for a spending package between 2 and 10
trillion yuan ($280 billion to $1.4 trillion) and Ferres said
his sense was that support needs to be on top of previous
commitments and boost GDP by about 2 percentage points to be
helpful.
Dalian iron ore and Shanghai copper pared losses in the
afternoon but were still in the red. Brent crude futures
, which fell 4.6% overnight, steadied at $77.88 a barrel.
Japan's Nikkei rose 1%, with shares in convenience
store Seven & I Holdings ( SVNDF ) leaping after Bloomberg News
reported Canadian retailer Alimentation Couche-Tard ( ANCTF )
would raise its buyout offer.
PATIENCE
Traders have so far regarded China's stocks slide as an
overdue pullback after a hefty 25% surge in the previous six
sessions.
Still, the drops leave mainland stocks on course for their
largest losses since April 2022, when pandemic lockdowns were in
force in major cities.
Just about every sector was down in China, though property
and tourism were heavily beaten-down
in a sign of some doubts that state support will be large and
swift enough to turn around consumers' confidence.
"We think markets can still re-rate up from here, but
policymakers will need to start showing their cards or investors
will lose patience over how the broader domestic economy,
especially consumption, can recover," said Eugene Hsiao, head of
China equity strategy at Macquarie Capital.
"The other variable remains macro, as the PBOC's monetary
policy could be more handcuffed if Fed rate cuts do not
materialise as quickly as planned," he said.
Market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts have been
pared back following strong labour market data last week,
lifting yields and the dollar which was the backdrop to a 0.9%
slide for the New Zealand dollar in the Asia session.
The kiwi fell through its 200-day moving average to a
seven-week low after the central bank cut interest rates by 50
basis points and left the door open to more.
"We expect another 50bps cut in November. The Kiwi economy
needs it," said Kiwi Bank chief economist Jarrod Kerr.
The dollar also rose slightly to 148.525 yen and
$1.0971 per euro.
Treasuries steadied following recent selling, leaving U.S.
two-year yields at 3.96% and 10-year yields
at 4.01%.
Minutes from the Fed's September meeting - where U.S. rates
were cut 50 bps - are due later in the session, along with
appearances from the Fed's Raphael Bostic, Lorie Logan and Mary
Daly.
($1 = 7.0560 Chinese yuan renminbi)