(Updates prices)
By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, July 30 (Reuters) - Oil prices hit seven-week
lows on Tuesday as a softening demand outlook weighed on
commodities, while bond, currency and stock markets traded
cautiously ahead of central bank meetings in the U.S. and Japan
and a slew of major corporate earnings reports.
Brent crude futures touched $79.36 as traders
focused on worries over Chinese demand rather than tensions in
the Middle East or Venezuela, and turned sellers.
Copper and iron ore prices fell, and zinc and aluminium
slipped to multi-month lows, while there was little by way of
support from China's Politburo, which at its July meeting
announced no new detailed efforts to boost the economy.
The S&P 500 has steadied after a two-week downturn
and futures were flat late in the Asia session.
European futures edged 0.1% higher, with moves
kept small by the two-day policy meetings in Washington and
Tokyo that loom over markets and wrap up on Wednesday.
Japan's Nikkei, which dropped nearly 6% last week,
was 0.1% lower in afternoon trade. MSCI's broadest index of
Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.4%.
A couple of individual stock moves were eye-catching, with a
discounted block-sale dragging iron ore miner Fortescue
down more than 9% in Australia. Shares of Standard Chartered
rose 5% in Hong Kong after the lender lifted its
earnings outlook and announced a $1.5 billion share buyback
plan.
All eyes were on interest rates. Japanese government bond
yields edged lower with the 10-year JGB yield
down 2.5 basis points at 1%. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields
were steady at 4.186%.
"The term 'calm before the storm' has been heard across the
floors," said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone in
Melbourne. "This is a day for position management and to review
broad exposures."
Markets are pricing almost no chance of a U.S. rate cut this
week, but have fully priced a 25-basis-point reduction in the
Fed Funds rate for September and so expect policymakers to sound
dovish.
In Japan, a broader range of outcome is on the table, with
markets pricing a nearly 60% chance of a 10-basis-point rate
hike and expecting to hear about how the Bank of Japan plans to
edge its way out of an enormous bond-buying programme.
The dollar and yen drifted, but kept in fairly compact
ranges after recent breakout moves.
The euro bought $1.0821 and gentle pressure
remained on the Australia dollar, which has been
dragged lower by falling commodity prices. The Aussie, which
bought nearly $0.68 less than three weeks ago, traded at
$0.6557.
The yen, which has rebounded sharply from a
38-year low of 161.96 per dollar hit early in July, hovered at
154.67 per dollar.
"We are at an interesting intersection for yen here," said
Nathan Swami, head of currency trading at Citi in Singapore,
with this week's central bank meetings possibly sketching a
shift in the rates outlook and the yen's trajectory.
"It is too early to tell if the factors driving yen weakness
have changed permanently. For now, this seems more like a
short-term correction to the USD/JPY higher trend, but we feel
there is downside risk that needs to be priced into a trade."
Later in the day, Microsoft ( MSFT ) and chipmaker AMD
will report earnings after the bell in New York, while
preliminary CPI data is due in Germany and Spain.
Australian inflation data will also be released on Wednesday
and the Bank of England is priced for a roughly even chance of a
rate cut at its policy meeting on Thursday.
(Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Sherry Jacob-Phillips)