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Dollar up as Trump talks of tariffs on steel, aluminium
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Stocks shrug off tariff threat, with S&P 500 futures
higher
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Markets see less scope for Fed rate cuts this year
By Wayne Cole and Harry Robertson
SYDNEY/LONDON, Feb 10 (Reuters) - The dollar edged
higher on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump warned more
tariffs were imminent including on steel and aluminium, although
U.S. futures and European stocks shrugged off the looming levies
and rose.
Speaking to reporters on Air Force One, Trump said he would
announce on Monday 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium
imports into the U.S., and reveal other reciprocal tariffs on
Tuesday or Wednesday.
China's retaliatory tariffs on some U.S. exports take effect
on Monday, with no sign as yet of progress between Beijing and
Washington.
Investors reacted by pushing the dollar slightly higher,
with the index tracking the U.S. currency up just over
0.1% from Friday's close, at 108.17.
It climbed 0.59% against Japan's yen, which had its
best week since November last week as investors bet on more Bank
of Japan rate hikes. The euro was flat at $1.0329.
The dollar rose against the currencies of
commodity-exporting countries before moderating. The Canadian
dollar was last around 0.2% lower.
"Much uncertainty about the nature, timing and magnitude of
these tariffs looks likely to keep the dollar supported this
week," said Chris Turner, global head of markets at European
bank ING.
Turner also flagged the risk that Trump imposes reciprocal
tariffs on many countries, as he said he would on Friday, which
could shake currencies around the world.
U.S. stock futures initially fell but quickly recovered as
investors looked ahead to another busy week of earnings. S&P 500
contracts were last up 0.35%, after the cash index
fell 0.95% on Friday.
Shares had been roiled by some mixed earnings numbers last
week, though overall earnings per share growth is running at 12%
and above early expectations of 8%.
Europe's continent-wide STOXX 600 index rose 0.28%
in early trading after slipping 0.38% on Friday.
The shares of some European steelmakers slipped, including
Luxembourg-based ArcelorMittal and Germany's Salzgitter
.
Analysts say tariffs could put upward pressure on U.S.
inflation and further limit room for the Federal Reserve to ease
policy, which has supported the U.S. dollar since Trump's
re-election.
Markets had already scaled back expected rate cuts this year
to just 36 basis points, from around 42 basis points, following
a broadly upbeat payrolls report on Friday.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to appear before the House of
Representatives on Tuesday and Wednesday and the impact of
tariffs on policy is sure to be a hot-button issue.
U.S. Treasuries fell slightly on Monday, with yields on
10-year notes up 1 basis point at 4.497%. Yields
move inversely to prices.
Japan's Nikkei stock index was flat, while Hong
Kong's Hang Seng rallied 1.84%. China's CSI 300
climbed 0.21%.
"Markets are largely taking unfolding events in their
stride," said Derren Nathan, head of equity research at
Hargreaves Lansdown.
"Stocks in China and Hong Kong were up overnight. Perhaps
(due to) a mixture of trade restrictions not being as bad as
they might have been and hope for further Chinese stimulus."
Worries about Chinese deflation were soothed by data showing
consumer inflation accelerated to its fastest in five months in
January.
Gold prices hit another record high at $2,901 an ounce
, helped in part by talk Trump might impose tariffs on the
metal.
London aluminium traded in a tight range on Monday
as investors weighed the possible metals tariffs.
Oil prices ticked up after three weeks of losses that have
been partly driven by trade concerns. Brent crude was
0.7% higher at $75.19 a barrel.