*
Trump pushing for rate cuts by Fed, mulls choosing
successor to
Powell early
*
Stocks take breather after relief rally over Israel-Iran
ceasefire
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Oil prices on track for second straight session of gains
(Updates prices throughout with mid-day trading, adds New York
dateline and fresh analyst comment)
By Marc Jones and Chibuike Oguh
NEW YORK/LONDON, June 26 (Reuters) - The dollar sank to
a more than three-year low even as global shares hit their third
record high in three days on Thursday and amid growing market
concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence.
The U.S. dollar index was down nearly 0.5% on the
session and more than 10% for the year. If it stays that way in
the next few days it will be its biggest fall in the first half
of a year since the start of the era of free-floating currencies
in the early 1970s.
Wall Street's main indexes were trading higher, with the
benchmark S&P 500 and Nasdaq nearing record highs. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average rose 0.74% to 43,302.85, the S&P 500
rose 0.66% to 6,132.52 and the Nasdaq Composite
rose 0.73% to 20,118.65.
European shares finished up 0.09%. MSCI's gauge of
stocks across the globe rose 75% to 908.96,
hitting a new record high for the third straight session.
A Wall Street Journal report said President Donald Trump - who
has been urging the Fed to cut rates faster - was toying with
the idea of selecting Chair Jerome Powell's replacement in the
next few months ahead of the end of his term next May.
Powell had just wrapped up two days of testimony to U.S.
Congress, where he said the central bank would be careful in
considering further rate cuts as it expects Trump's tariffs
would cause prices to rise this summer.
Such an appointment by Trump of a shadow Fed chair will
likely shake investor confidence in the central bank's
independence, which is helping to contribute to the dollar's
weakness, said Wasif Latif, chief investment officer at Sarmaya
Partners in New Jersey.
"The market recognizes that sooner rather than later, Powell
will walk off the stage and the next appointment will likely be
somebody that's a little bit softer or dovish or somewhat
politically driven," Latif said. "And the market is saying the
next chair will likely be more amenable to big cuts than Powell
has been and so I think that's part of what's feeding into the
dollar weakness and gold is also reflecting that."
Overnight in Asia, Tokyo's Nikkei jumped 1.65% to its
highest level since January, while MSCI's index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan finished slightly higher
too.
The euro is now at its strongest level against the dollar
since 2021 and trade tariff talks are looming with
Washington next week, ahead of a Trump-imposed global deadline
of July 9.
The dollar weakened to a decade-low against the Swiss franc
at 0.79855. It was also down 0.73% to 144.195 against
the Japanese yen.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six peers, now sits at its lowest level since March 2022
following its slide this year.
"The striking thing on the dollar trend of the last six
weeks is that in almost any market regime the dollar is
struggling to appreciate," State Street's Michael Metcalfe said.
"It seems to be in something of structural decline," he
added, highlighting State Street data that investors were now
the most negative they have been on the dollar - or
"underweight" in banking speak - since the COVID pandemic.
Traders are now pricing in a nearly 25% chance of the Fed
cutting rates in its end-of-July meeting, compared with 12.5%
last week, the CME FedWatch tool showed.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
fell 1.6 basis points to 4.277%.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which
typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was
down 2.9 basis points at 3.75%, its lowest level in seven weeks.
Germany's equivalent which is a benchmark for Europe,
0.4 basis points to 2.569%.
Oil prices were on track for their second straight day of gains
after their sharp slump following the Trump-brokered ceasefire
early this week between longtime Middle East foes Israel and
Iran. Trump had also announced plans to hold talks
with Iran next week to seek a commitment from Tehran on
curtailing its nuclear ambitions.
Brent crude futures rose 1.2% to $68.49 a barrel,
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) gained 1.43% to
$65.85. Gold dipped 0.2% to $3,325.54 an ounce..
(Editing by Alex Richardson and Toby Chopra)