*
Rising Middle East tension dents sentiment, lifts oil and
gold
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Markets give lukewarm reception to U.S.-China truce
agreement
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Trump's latest tariff salvo unnerves investors
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Soft U.S. CPI sets stage for Fed meeting next week
(Updates throughout)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, June 12 (Reuters) - The dollar neared a 2025 low
on Thursday, while stocks eased from record highs, as a cocktail
of rising Middle East tensions and concern over the fragility of
a trade truce between Washington and Beijing drew investors into
safe-haven assets.
Separately, a report on U.S. consumer inflation on Wednesday
showed overall price pressures remained contained in May,
largely due to declines in the cost of gasoline, cars and
housing. But most economists expect inflation to pick up as the
impact of U.S. tariffs begins to bite.
The dollar, which has lost around 10% in value against a
basket of currencies this year, skimmed its lowest levels since
late April, which in turn, marked its lowest level in three
years.
Global stocks took a breather from the almost-unbroken rally
that has run since early April, leaving the MSCI All-Country
World index down 0.1%, just below Wednesday's
all-time high.
In Europe, the STOXX 600 fell 0.8%, led mostly by
airlines and autos, given the strength in the oil price, while
futures on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell 0.5%.
The U.S. administration on Wednesday said U.S. personnel
were being moved out of the Middle East due to heightened
security risks in the region, which briefly drove oil prices up
by 4% before they receded.
"(A flare-up in tensions) is a significant tail risk, but I
don't think it is anybody's baseline forecasts. So it's
something to watch if there is a real escalation there, then
markets will take fright and that would have ramifications for
the oil price," Daiwa Capital economist Chris Scicluna said.
Iran, for its part, said it will not abandon its right to
uranium enrichment, a senior Iranian official told Reuters on
Thursday, adding that a "friendly" regional country had alerted
Tehran over a potential military strike by Israel.
Classic safe-haven assets got a lift. The Swiss franc
and the Japanese yen strengthened, pushing
the dollar down by around 0.6% against both currencies, while
gold held firm at $3,350 an ounce.
The sense of relief stemming from a positive conclusion to
U.S.-China trade talks earlier this week, which President Donald
Trump said was a "great deal with China", evaporated by
Thursday.
RED, WHITE AND BLUE LETTERS
Adding yet another dose of uncertainty in the markets, Trump
said the U.S. would send out letters in one to two weeks
outlining the terms of trade deals to dozens of other countries,
which they could embrace or reject.
"Markets may have no choice but to respond to Trump's tariff
threat - even if it's just posturing to bring others to the
table. The gap between 'risk-on' positioning and real-world
risks has stretched too far," said Charu Chanana, chief
investment strategist at Saxobank.
Trump's erratic tariff policies have roiled global markets
this year, prompting hordes of investors to exit U.S. assets,
especially the dollar, as they worried about rising prices and
slowing economic growth.
The euro, one of the beneficiaries of the dollar's
decline, touched a seven-week high and was last at $1.1535.
U.S. Treasuries also rallied in price, pushing
yields down 1.5 basis points to below 4.4%, while two-year
yields, which are more sensitive to inflation and
interest-rate expectations, eased 1.6 bps to 3.93%.
Later in the day, the focus will be on a producer inflation
report as some of the components feed into the Fed's preferred
inflation gauge - the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index.
Wednesday's consumer index kept alive the prospect of the
Federal Reserve cutting rates by a quarter point, but only in
September, as policymakers assess how tariffs work their way
through the real economy.
"I suspect it's probably going to be a combination of the
two. Therefore it makes sense for the Fed to wait and see what
happens rather than rushing into a rate cut," AMP Capital's head
of investment strategy and chief economist Shane Oliver said.
Oil, which has fallen by 20% in the last year, eased by 1%
to $69.07 a barrel, but remained near two-month highs, adding
another moving part to the outlook for interest rates.