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Dollar on front foot in holiday-thinned trade
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Global shares set to end year on a high thanks to Wall
Street
boost
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Bitcoin stays under $100,000
By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE, Dec 26 (Reuters) - Asia shares rose slightly
in holiday-thinned trade on Thursday, extending gains from
earlier in the week with little news or data in the way to alter
their direction of travel, while the dollar was perched near a
two-year high.
As the year-end approaches, trading volumes have begun
thinning out and the main focus for investors remains that of
the Federal Reserve's rate outlook. Markets in Hong Kong,
Australia and New Zealand were closed for a holiday on Thursday.
Since Fed Chair Jerome Powell primed markets for fewer rate
cuts next year at the central bank's last policy meeting of the
year, traders are now pricing in just about 35 basis points
worth of easing for 2025.
That has in turn lifted U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar,
with the greenback's renewed strength a burden for commodities
and gold.
The benchmark 10-year yield was last steady at
4.5967%, having risen above 4.6% for the first time since May 30
earlier in the week. It is up roughly 40 basis points for the
month thus far. The two-year yield similarly firmed
at 4.3407%.
"Given December's hawkish cut, we believe the Fed will skip
at the January FOMC meeting and wait for more data before
definitely resuming, or potentially ending, this cutting cycle,"
said Tom Porcelli, chief U.S. economist at PGIM Fixed Income.
"Given the Fed's shift to less accommodation paired with
continued focus on both sides of the dual mandate, we believe
the market will have more intense emphasis on economic events in
the new year."
In currencies, the dollar was perched near a two-year high
against a basket of currencies at 108.15, and was on
track for a monthly gain of more than 2%.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars were meanwhile among
the biggest losers against a dominant greenback on Thursday,
with the Aussie falling 0.45% to $0.6241. The kiwi
slid 0.51% to $0.5650.
The euro eased 0.18% to $1.0398, while the yen
languished near a five-month low and last stood at
157.45 per dollar.
Japan's government is set to compile a record $735 billion
budget for the fiscal year starting in April due to larger
social security and debt-servicing costs, adding to the
industrial world's heaviest debt, a draft seen by Reuters
showed.
ENDING ON A HIGH
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
ticked up 0.04% and was headed for a weekly rise
of nearly 2%, taking a cue from its counterparts on Wall Street
earlier in the week.
S&P 500 futures edged 0.02% higher, while Nasdaq
futures advanced 0.13%.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures rose 0.04%.
World stocks looked set to end the year on a
high with a second consecutive annual gain of more than 17%,
unfazed by escalating geopolitical tensions and various economic
and political headwinds globally.
That is mostly thanks to a second year of huge gains for
shares on Wall Street as artificial intelligence fever and
robust economic growth sucked more global capital into U.S.
assets.
"At first glance, markets appear to suggest exceptional
exuberance that has presided over 2024," said Vishnu Varathan,
head of macro research for Asia ex-Japan at Mizuho Bank.
"Notably, U.S. bulls high on American exceptionalism have
not trampled on ebullience elsewhere."
Japan's Nikkei jumped 0.38% and was on track to end
the year with a more than 17% gain.
China's CSI300 blue-chip index fell 0.26% while
the Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.22%, though both
were headed for yearly gains of more than 10% each, helped by a
step-up in support from Chinese authorities in recent months to
shore up an ailing economy.
Elsewhere, bitcoin last traded 0.5% higher at
$98,967, having fallen from a record high above $100,000 on the
back of the Fed's hawkish repricing.
Russian companies have begun using bitcoin and other digital
currencies in international payments following legislative
changes that allowed such use in order to counter Western
sanctions, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said on Wednesday.
In commodities, Brent crude futures rose 0.18% to
$73.71 a barrel, while U.S. crude gained 0.21% to $70.25
per barrel.
Spot gold ticked 0.5% higher to $2,626.36 an ounce.