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Equity indexes flatten after volatile session
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Fed signals slower easing, predicts more inflation
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Oil rises on sixth day of Israel-Iran tension
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Trump says "anything could happen"
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US Treasury yields fall, then rise
(Updates asset prices at 4:45pm ET)
By Isla Binnie
NEW YORK, June 18 (Reuters) - Major Wall Street indexes
ended a choppy trading session little changed after the U.S.
central bank held interest rates steady on Wednesday, while the
six-day-old Israel-Iran air war kept oil prices climbing on
fears of escalation and supply disruption.
In a much-anticipated address, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome
Powell said the Fed expects goods prices for U.S. consumers to
go up over the course of the summer under pressure from
President Donald Trump's tariffs.
The Fed's update earlier in the day signalled borrowing
costs were still likely to fall this year, but that future cuts
would proceed a little more slowly.
Powell has insisted the Fed's moves are based on data.
He cautioned on Wednesday not to place too much stock in the
forecasts, which could change as more readings come in.
"Powell by design left optionality open," said David
Seif, chief economist for Developed Markets at Nomura in New
York, adding that the chair "was saying we don't know what the
impact of the tariffs is going to be. That seems like a fair
statement when you've had the largest increase in tariffs that
the U.S. has seen in 95 years."
The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended 0.10%
lower on the day, the S&P 500 fell 0.03% and the Nasdaq
Composite rose 0.13%.
Stocks were solidly higher before the Fed statement.
Geopolitics remained in focus as Iranian Supreme Leader
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei rejected Trump's demand for unconditional
surrender, and Trump said his patience had run out but did not
indicate his next step.
Trump declined to say whether he had made any decision on
whether to join Israel's bombing campaign against archenemy
Iran. Asked if he thought the Iranian government could fall,
Trump said: "Sure, anything could happen."
Brent crude futures settled 25 cents higher at
$76.70 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose
30 cents to $75.14. Earlier in the session, prices had been down
around 2%. On Tuesday, prices jumped over 4%.
U.S. GOVERNMENT DEBT COSTS RISE AFTER POWELL
U.S. Treasury yields pared earlier declines after Powell
forecast accelerating inflation.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes was
4.391%, the same as its level late on Tuesday.
Concerns the United States will join the Israel-Iran
conflict had boosted demand for safe-haven U.S. debt and helped
send yields lower earlier on Wednesday.
Those yields surged on April 2 after Trump announced
higher-than-expected tariffs, prompting concerns foreign
investors would move away from U.S. assets. They stabilised in
the ensuing weeks as the president delayed implementing the
levies.
Economic data from earlier in the week had made for a
challenging backdrop to the Fed decision.
U.S. retail sales fell by a larger-than-expected 0.9% in
May, data showed on Tuesday, the biggest drop in four months.
Further data on Wednesday showed the number of Americans
filing new applications for unemployment benefits fell last week
but stayed at levels consistent with a loss of labor market
momentum in June.
The yield on the rate-sensitive 2-year note fell
1.1 basis points to 3.939%, from 3.95% late on Tuesday.
Markets are closed on Thursday for the federal Juneteenth
holiday.