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Wall Street stocks post biggest drop in a month
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Bond yields rise as rate cut prospects fade
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US dollar slips; Crude settles modestly higher
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Gold pulls back from 3-week high
(Updates prices after US stock market close)
By Sinéad Carew and Marc Jones
NEW YORK/LONDON, Nov 13 (Reuters) - Wall Street indexes
suffered their biggest one-day decline in a month on Thursday,
pushing down MSCI's global equities gauge while U.S. Treasury
yields rose as investor bets for a December rate cut took a dive
after hawkish comments by Federal Reserve officials.
In currencies, the dollar fell despite the prospects for slower
rate cuts, in the first trading day after the House of
Representatives voted late on Wednesday to reopen the U.S.
government from its longest shutdown in history and President
Donald Trump signed the bill.
Investors had been pouring into equities in recent sessions in
anticipation of an end to the shutdown, which disrupted food
benefits for millions, left hundreds of thousands of federal
workers unpaid, and snarled air traffic while putting a pause on
crucial economic data releases.
However, Trump administration officials dashed hopes for a
clearer view of the U.S. economy any time soon. The White House
indicated that the U.S. unemployment rate for October may never
be available, since it is dependent on a household survey that
was not conducted during the shutdown.
And pointing to worries about high inflation after two U.S.
interest rate cuts this year, a growing number of Federal
Reserve policymakers signaled caution about further rate cuts.
Alberto Musalem, who runs the St Louis Federal Reserve Bank,
reiterated his view that there was limited room to ease further
without becoming overly accommodative. Federal Reserve Bank of
Cleveland President Beth Hammack said interest rate policy
should remain restrictive in order to put downward pressure on
still concerning levels of inflation.
Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neel Kashkari said
inflation was too high while parts of the labor market "look
like they're under pressure." Earlier, San Francisco Federal
Reserve President Mary Daly said the risks to the Fed's two
goals are now balanced after two rate cuts already this year.
Trader bets for a December rate cut were last showing a 51.9%
probability, down from 62.9% on Wednesday, according to CME
Group's FedWatch tool.
"Markets were counting on a cut, and we may not get it,"
said Bob Doll, chief executive and chief investment officer at
Crossmark, pointing to cautious Fed comments on the prospects
for a December easing of rates. "Most of them are putting up
warning signs that it's not a 'gimme', just like the Fed Chair
told us when he did this presser after the last Fed meeting. In
some sense, it's not new, but people didn't believe it."
Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise,
said investors are looking at high valuations in heavyweight
technology and artificial intelligence-linked stocks, adding to
their worries about a continued lack of clarity around the U.S.
economy. So, he said, it was not surprising to "see investors
take a step back from risk, sell down the winners and go into
the defensive areas of the market."
EQUITIES MARK BIGGEST DROP IN A MONTH
On Wall Street, the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite
led losses, closing down 536.10 points, or 2.29%, at 22,870.36.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 797.60 points, or
1.65%, to 47,457.22, while the S&P 500 fell 113.43
points, or 1.66%, to 6,737.49. All three indexes registered
their biggest daily declines since October 10.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe was
down 12.07 points, or 1.19%, at 999.71, which would also be its
biggest daily drop since October 10.
Earlier in the day, the pan-European STOXX 600 index
closed down 0.61% while Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index
finished off 0.66%. Both had hit record highs during
their trading day.
In U.S. Treasuries, prices retreated, driving yields higher, as
investors scaled back expectations for imminent rate cuts amid
lingering uncertainty over the inflation outlook and stark
divisions among Fed policymakers on the trajectory of the U.S.
economy and monetary policy.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 4.4
basis points to 4.123%, from 4.079% late on Wednesday while the
30-year bond yield rose 5.4 basis points to
4.7162%. The 2-year note yield, which typically moves
in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve,
rose 3.1 basis points to 3.597%.
DOLLAR FALLS AGAINST EURO, YEN
In currencies, the U.S. dollar dipped as the government
reopened, leaving traders grappling with the long-term impact of
the shutdown on trust in the U.S. currency while investors
waited for data on the health of the economy.
Meanwhile, European financial stability officials were
debating whether to create an alternative to Federal Reserve
funding backstops by pooling dollars held by non-U.S. central
banks, aiming to reduce their reliance on the U.S. under the
Trump administration, five officials familiar with the matter
told Reuters.
"The shutdown is over, but how soon are we going to go back to
normal? How soon are we going to have numbers? How soon am I
going to be able to do real, accurate analysis based on trusted
American statistics from September and October? That's in
doubt," said Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex USA in
Washington.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a
basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 0.29%
to 99.19, with the euro up 0.34% at $1.1631. Against the
Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.12% to154.58.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was down 3.24% at
$98,578.10, after falling to its lowest level since May.
In energy markets, oil futures settled slightly higher after
selling off sharply in the previous session, as investors
weighed concerns about global oversupply against looming
sanctions against Russia's Lukoil.
U.S. crude settled up 0.34%, or 20 cents, at $58.69 a
barrel while Brent settled at $63.01 per barrel, up
0.48%, or 30 cents, on the day.
Gold prices pulled back after hitting a three-week high
earlier in the session, amid the broad market selloff that
followed the reopening of the U.S. government.
Spot gold fell 0.51% to $4,177.21 an ounce. U.S. gold
futures fell 0.96% to $4,164.10 an ounce.