*
European stocks and euro inch higher as France passes test
*
Equities also buoyed by AI hopes, US bank earnings
*
Gold gains, dollar sputters as Trump declares trade war on
China
*
Oil off 5-month low as Trump says India to halt Russian
oil
buying
(Updates after French government passes confidence vote, ahead
of Wall Street trading)
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - World stocks shuffled back
towards all-time highs on Thursday as AI optimism trumped
simmering U.S.-China trade tensions again and France's fragile
government survived a crucial confidence vote in Europe.
The appeal of safe-haven gold showed little sign of abating,
however, while the dollar dipped for a third day running and oil
prices climbed after U.S. President Donald Trump said India had
pledged to stop buying Russian oil.
French Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu's success in a
confidence vote was enough to cap a four-day bond market rally
that has driven euro zone borrowing costs to their lowest level
in months.
Lecornu's survival came at a cost though. He had secured
crucial backing from the Socialist Party after pledging to
suspend President Emmanuel Macron's contested increase in the
retirement age to 64 from 62 by 2030.
State Street's head of global macro strategy, Michael
Metcalfe, said the situation in France should now stabilise, at
least for a while.
"At least they have managed to come to some compromise which
removes the risk of a snap election," Metcalfe said, adding the
market was also now looking at whether the dollar begins to fall
back again.
"Have we seen a stabilisation of dollar sentiment, or has it
(a modest bounce this month) just been a reflection of higher
political uncertainty outside the U.S.?" he said, also pointing
to recent drama in Japan.
AI MEGATREND STRENGTHENING
There had been developments on that front overnight too.
Japan's Nikkei jumped 1.3% and the yen edged
down in Tokyo trading as prospects appeared to brighten for
Sanae Takaichi to become Japan's first woman premier, stoking
bets on a revival in big spending and loose monetary policy.
Chip- and artificial intelligence-related shares also
provided a boost, as Taiwanese chipmaker TSMC, whose
customers include Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Apple ( AAPL ), reported
record earnings as Asian trading had been winding down.
Its CEO said conviction in the "AI megatrend" was
"strengthening", as it raised its 2025 revenue guidance to
mid-30% growth in U.S. dollar terms from around 30%, and
maintained its pledge to spend up to $42 billion this year.
"AI demand actually continues to be very strong - more
strong than we thought three months ago," CEO C.C. Wei told an
earnings call.
That filtered into U.S. stock index futures, which were
pointing to steady gains for Wall Street when trading resumes.
South Korea's tech-dominated KOSPI had jumped 2.5%
to its own record peak overnight too after the country's chief
presidential policy adviser said he was "optimistic" about
finalising a trade deal with the United States.
Australian stocks added nearly 1% and also reached a
record high after poor jobs data improved the odds in favour of
more central bank interest rate cuts. That also dragged down the
Aussie dollar.
"Nobody forecast the unemployment drop," Societe Generale's
Kit Juckes said, adding that the yen now looked "stuck" because
there will be "a minority government that wants fiscal stimulus
and doesn't want rate hikes."
GOLD SURGE CONTINUES
Record-high gold added to its more than 60% surge this year
as it reached an unprecedented $4,241.77 per ounce.
The dollar meanwhile sagged for a third straight session,
dropping 0.2% against a basket of major peers.
Investors were still eying Fed rate cuts and scrutinising
China's latest rare earth export controls, a move sharply
criticised by senior U.S. officials on Wednesday, who warned
that it could disrupt global supply chains.
"The question for financial markets is whether China's
proposed export controls on rare earths are merely part of a
bargaining ploy to achieve greater concessions from the U.S.,"
said Chris Turner, global head of markets at ING.
Amid the tit-for-tat, Trump still expects to meet Chinese
President Xi Jinping in South Korea this month, U.S. Treasury
Secretary Scott Bessent said.
Trump's trade manoeuvres also lifted oil off five-month
lows, with Brent crude futures up 0.4% at $62.13 a
barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures
adding 0.7% to trade at $58.69.
Trump had said on Wednesday that India would halt oil
purchases from its top supplier Russia, and Washington would
next try to get China to do the same as it intensifies efforts
to pressure Moscow into a peace deal in Ukraine.
(Additional reporting by Kevin Buckland in Tokyo; Editing by
Joe Bavier)