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European shares rise towards early June all-time peak
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Soft German and Spanish inflation data knocks euro
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Key part of U.S. Treasury curve close to un-inverting
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Gold nears record high
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Graphic: World FX rates http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
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By Marc Jones
LONDON, Aug 29 (Reuters) - European shares shrugged off
Wall Street's disappointment at 'Magnificent 7' top dog Nvidia's ( NVDA )
results on Thursday, while the euro and bond yields fell as a
stream of German and Spanish inflation data trickled in soft.
With a 0.7% gain on the board ahead of the Wall Street
restart, the pan-European STOXX 600 index was pushing
to regain the record highs it set in mid-June before being
savagely hit in a global rout earlier this month.
A near 1% rise in the region's tech shares led the way as
traders swerved Wednesday's 7% after-hours slump in AI darling
Nvidia's ( NVDA ) shares on Wall Street after its results had
left some investors unenthused.
Despite a third-quarter revenue forecast of $32.5 billion
surpassing analysts' expectations, its second-quarter revenue
outperformance was the smallest relative to forecasts in six
quarters.
Wall Street did still look set to open higher later,
but "this wasn't the sort of massive beat that Nvidia ( NVDA ) has often
reported over the last 18 months," Deutsche Bank strategist Jim
Reid said.
There were plenty of other things for traders to digest,
though.
The benchmark gauge of European borrowing costs, the German
10-year Bund yield, and the euro had both fallen after
data from six key German states pointed to a noticeable decline
in the national inflation rate this month.
Spain's annual inflation rate dropped to 2.4% too, its
slowest pace in a year, and U.S. weekly jobless claims, which
have gained prominence given the Federal Reserve's focus on the
health of the labour market, are also due later in the day.
Asian markets had a tricky session overnight. MSCI's
broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
fell 0.3%, with South Korea's and
Taiwan's markets dropping 1% and 0.7% respectively as
their big chip and tech stocks felt the Nvidia ( NVDA ) chill.
"Nvidia ( NVDA ), in some ways, has become a victim of its success,
its share price soaring over 180% this year and after beating
earnings now in 14 of the past 15 quarters," said Tony Sycamore,
analyst at IG.
Whether the results "signal the end of investors' strong
affinity for the chipmaker remains to be seen. However, at the
very least, the post earnings reaction does suggest it's an
excellent time to consider diversifying," he added
China's blue chips ended lower for a fourth
session as disappointing results from Chinese companies
highlighted the country's frail economic recovery. UBS on
Wednesday cut its 2024 GDP growth forecast for China to 4.6%
from 4.9%.
China's central bank also bought up special government bonds
for the first time in nearly two years, with the bank's governor
also saying separately that it planned to look at new measures
to boost the economy.
Geopolitical disputes were in play too. Chinese battery
maker CATL fell over 1% after two top Republican
lawmakers sought to have the firm added to a restricted list of
companies allegedly working with Beijing's military.
U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan is wrapping up
three days of talks in Beijing intended to ease simmering
tensions between the two superpowers.
Beijing had also said on Thursday that it would not impose
provisional tariffs on brandy imported from the European Union,
fanning hopes Europe in return might soften its pressure on
China's electric car makers.
GOING FOR GOLD
Currency markets saw the euro swoon back below $1.11
following the German and Spanish inflation data, having failed
to break a major resistance level of $1.12 in recent days.
There was a gaggle of key central bankers speaking too,
including ECB Chief economist Philip Lane and Fed Atlanta
President Raphael Bostic.
Bostic on Wednesday said it may be "time to move" on rate
cuts, but that he wanted to see confirmation from the jobs
reports and two inflation reports before the September meeting.
The dollar steadied above more than one-year lows,
undermined by expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts. Futures
have fully priced in a quarter-point cut next month, and even
imply a 35% probability of a half-point easing.
The second estimate of second-quarter U.S. GDP is also due
later and though backward looking it will include the latest
revisions to core PCE inflation, Deutsche Bank's Reid
highlighted.
"Any revisions to that would add to the uncertainty when it
comes to tomorrow's core PCE print for July, so that could have
implications for the 25 bps vs 50 bps (Fed cut) debate depending
how that looks," he said.
U.S. Treasury yields were mostly quiet, although the
inverted curve between two- and 10-years came within a whisker
of turning positive. That would be the first time since July
2022, barring the brief un-inverting during the Japanese market
crash earlier this month.
Gold climbed again and was just shy of notching another
record high. Spot prices were up 0.6% at $2,522 an ounce,
just a touch below their record of $2,531.
Oil was battling to avoid a third straight day of declines,
meanwhile, as concerns about demand from China and the U.S.
countered supply disruptions out of Libya.
Brent crude futures bounced in and out of the red
near $78.50 a barrel having fallen more than 3% in the past two
days, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude hovered
around $74.50 futures dipped 0.5% to $74.18.