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Tech stocks struggle amid tariff worries
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Euro near 4-month high ahead of ECB meeting
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September rate cut signals awaited
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Gold holds near record highs
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Graphic: World FX rates http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
By Marc Jones
LONDON, July 18 (Reuters) - Europe's traders were trying
to pull stock markets out of tech-led tumble on Thursday, as
attention turned to whether the European Central Bank would
signal September is its next likely point to cut interest rates.
It was already a busy day.
Japan's yen had scaled a six-week high amid speculation of
an sustained intervention, while the equity markets
were still shaky after chipmaker tariff worries
gave the Nasdaq its worst day since December 2022 on Wednesday.
Bond markets were broadly steady and at $1.0930 the euro
was holding near a four-month peak against an
unusually subdued dollar ahead of the ECB meeting where the
questions were all on when it cuts next.
Given that the bank's policymakers have not been pushing
back against current market expectations, BNP Paribas economist
Luca Pennarola said "barring any shocks" September was their
preferred date for the next rate cut.
His colleague Mariana Monteiro said it would be important to
hear whether Thursday's decision - in which rates are expected
to be kept unchanged - will be unanimous given an emerging
divergence over a potentially spluttering economic recovery but
also stubborn pockets of inflation.
Back in the FX market, the U.S. dollar was loitering
close to its weakest level in four months against a basket of
currencies.
Comments from Federal Reserve officials have bolstered the
case for September cut in the U.S. That in turn meant gold
was perched near its recent record highs.
European stocks were battling to stay positive with the
STOXX 600 on track to snap a three-session losing streak. Oil
and gas boosted the benchmark index with a 1% rise, as
the sector tracked higher crude prices.
Tech was 0.75% lower again after a 4.4% slump on
Wednesday - also its worst day since December 2022 - following a
report that the United States was considering tighter curbs on
exports of advanced semiconductor technology to China.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
has seen a sub-index of IT stocks
drop 2.5% overnight. Tech-heavy South Korean
shares slipped 1.5%, while Taiwan stocks fell
2%.
The yen's strength and the sharp drop in chip stocks took
Japan's Nikkei down more than 2%.
"This volatility spike is now leading to some broader risk
reduction as investors worry about stretched positioning," said
Ben Bennett, Asia-Pacific investment strategist at Legal and
General Investment Management.
TAKE, TAKE, TAKE
Broader risk sentiment also took a hit after Republican
presidential candidate Donald Trump said on Wednesday Taiwan
"did take about 100% of our chip business" and should pay the
U.S. for its defence as it does not give the country anything.
China stocks had wavered as investors awaited policy news
from a key leadership gathering in Beijing. The Shanghai
Composite index made a late push to end up 0.55%
although the tech sector still finished down.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
versus six peers, was 0.1% higher at 103.78, not far from the
four-month low of 103.64 it touched on Wednesday.
The yen hit a six-week high against the dollar at
155.375 in early trading after a sharp rise on Wednesday that
had traders suspecting Japanese authorities were once again in
the market supporting the currency. It was last at 156.
Bank of Japan data suggested Tokyo may have bought nearly 6
trillion yen last week to lift the frail yen away from the
38-year lows it has been rooted to since the start of the month.
The yen has dropped 9.5% against the dollar this year as the
wide interest rate difference between the U.S. and Japan weigh,
creating a lucrative trading opportunity, in which traders
borrow the yen at low rates to invest in dollar-priced assets
for a higher return, known as carry trade.
Analysts, however, said last week's suspected moves by Tokyo
might lead to traders unwinding some of their positions.
"It feels like the tide is shifting a little here and it's
generating some discomfort for yen funded carry traders," said
James Athey fixed income portfolio manager at Marlborough
Investment Management.
In commodities, gold was 0.5% higher at $2,469 per
ounce just below the record high of $2,483.60 it touched on
Wednesday.
Oil prices were on the rise again, with Brent
futures 0.4% higher at $85.45 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas
Intermediate (WTI) crude gained 0.7% to $83.43.
(Additional reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing
by Arun Koyyur)