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European shares stall after gains for Asia and Wall Street
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Sterling shuffles higher ahead of tight BoE decision at
1200 GMT
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Traders pare back bets of Fed cut in December
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Gold claws back above $4,000 an ounce
(Updates after European markets open)
By Marc Jones and Rae Wee
LONDON/SINGAPORE, Nov 6 (Reuters) - European shares
slipped on Thursday, having uncoupled from Asia and Wall Street
this week, while the pound edged up from an overnight low as
traders weighed the likelihood of an early interest rate cut
later.
Asia's main markets had made solid gains overnight
as investors there swooped back in after sharp tech-led selloffs
this week, but for Europe it was all largely functional.
The pan-European STOXX 600 lost 0.3% as an 11%
slump in French data-centre equipment firm Legrand's shares
added to recent worries around sky-high tech
valuations and Germany's Commerzbank weighed on the banking
sector.
Over in the currency markets, the dollar was just
below multi-month highs after some upbeat U.S. data on Wednesday
and as traders waited on the day's main business - the 1200 GMT
rate decision for the BoE.
Sterling was up 0.3% at $1.3080 having edged up from
a seven-month low of $1.3011 overnight. Investors now see
a roughly 40% chance of a rate reduction, with finance minister
Rachel Reeves hinting this week she will raise UK taxes later
this month. 0#GBPIRPR
"I think out of all the G7 central banks, the Bank of
England is in the trickiest position," Allspring multi-asset
portfolio manager Rushabh Amin said, explaining that he expects
the BoE to hold off from a cut until after Reeves' November 26
budget.
"We are a bit underweight (on sterling) into the budget" he
added, although that could be readjusted in the coming weeks. "I
think the base case is just higher volatility."
BOND MARKET MOVES
In the bond markets, gilt yields - the proxy for UK
government borrowing costs - were little changed at 4.47%, while
German bund yields dipped from a 4-week high.
U.S. Treasury yields mostly held their overnight gains as
traders continued to trim bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut
next month, something which has pushed the dollar to a
five-month peak.
Data on Wednesday showed the U.S. services sector activity
increased to an eight-month high in October as new orders grew
solidly, while private payrolls rose 42,000 last month,
exceeding expectations.
"We actually are not too worried about the job market," said
Keiko Kondo, head of multi-asset investments for Asia at
Schroders.
"Market is tight, companies are probably investing more in
technology, probably not necessarily hiring more people, but not
firing people either. So probably the way that even the economy
and the labour market operate is changing a bit."
EYE ON THE FUTURES
Wall Street futures pointed to a largely steady start there
later where investors remain focused on trade tariff legal
rulings and on the ongoing government shutdown.
On the tariff front, U.S. Supreme Court justices raised
doubts on Wednesday over the legality of President Donald
Trump's sweeping tariffs, in a case with implications for the
global economy that marks a major test of Trump's powers.
Asia had seen Japan's Nikkei rebound 1.4% after
sliding 2.5% on Wednesday.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 2.1%. South Korea's Kospi
also jumped more than 2% shortly after it opened but
then lost traction to end a more modest 0.8% higher having
tumbled 2.85% in the previous session.
In China, Shanghai's benchmark stock index reclaimed the
psychologically important 4,000 level, as optimism over tech
self-sufficiency boosted semiconductor and artificial
intelligence-related shares.
"We do see the potential broadening out of this rally," said
Daniel Blake, Morgan Stanley's Asia and emerging markets equity
strategist, referring to the rally in Chinese markets which has
been led by technology companies.
Allspring's Amin, however, said it was one of the markets it
was thinking about taking profit on following this year's rally.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was last at
4.1473%, having risen nearly seven basis points in the previous
session, while the two-year yield stood at 3.6213%.
Wednesday's upbeat U.S. economic data releases have led to
traders now pricing in a roughly 61% chance of a Fed cut in
December, down from about 70% earlier in the week.
Against the yen, the dollar was down 0.3% in European
trading to 153.70. The euro was up 0.2% at $1.1515.
In commodities, oil prices edged higher, with Brent crude
futures up 0.6% at $63.95 a barrel while gold
rose 0.7% to back above $4,000 an ounce.
"The odds of a December Fed funds rate cut are drifting
further south," said Jose Torres, senior economist at
Interactive Brokers.