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Euro, pound, Swiss franc all rise against the dollar
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European stocks climb to fresh record high
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GDP data shows UK avoids recession
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Oil close to lowest level of the year so far
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Feb 13 (Reuters) - Europe's main stock markets
and currencies rallied on Thursday on growing optimism about a
peace deal between Ukraine and Russia, and as bond buyers
overcame their latest wobble after stubbornly high U.S.
inflation data.
Persisting trade war concerns kept gold in demand after U.S.
President Donald Trump reiterated his plans to impose reciprocal
tariffs on every country that has duties on U.S. goods.
The euro's bounce left it up 0.3% at $1.041,
helped by Trump's phone calls with Russian President Vladimir
Putin and Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Wednesday, which
raised hopes of an end to the near three-year-long war.
Oil prices fell for a second day, testing some key support
levels, while Europe's record-high STOXX 600 added to
its 8% surge this year, although Wall Street's S&P 500
and Nasdaq futures were back in the red.
ING currency strategist Chris Turner said a peace deal in
Ukraine could be an "important positive" for European countries
if it delivered lower energy prices and led to a Marshall
Plan-style rebuilding of Ukraine.
"The rally may have a little further to run," he added,
although the stiff headwinds of potential U.S. tariffs on Europe
and high U.S. rates "will limit the EUR/USD upside".
As well as a higher euro, the Swiss franc was up
against the dollar and Britain's pound rose 0.3% as it
was also helped by data showing an unexpected modest pick-up in
the British economy at the end of last year.
Overnight in Asia, Japan's Nikkei had gained 1.3%
thanks to a much weaker yen. MSCI's broadest index of
Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose as much
as 1.2% to hit its highest since early December.
Chinese blue chips saw a late dip to end their day
down 0.2%, as did Hong Kong's Hang Seng index after it
had hit another four-month high.
The bond markets were still digesting Wednesday's
January U.S. consumer price data that posted the biggest rise in
nearly 1-1/2 years. The closely watched core inflation index,
which excludes food and energy prices, rose 0.4% in the month,
above forecasts for 0.3%.
With the Federal Reserve already signalling no rush to cut
rates further, investors scaled back expectations of more policy
easing from the Federal Reserve this year to just 28 basis
points, equivalent to just one cut.
Benchmark Treasury yields - which tend to drive global
borrowing costs - had jumped to a three-week top of 4.66%
. But they were receding again on Thursday, drooping
back to 4.61% while Germany's 10-year Bund yield was
flat at 2.475%, having jumped 12 basis points over the previous
two sessions.
Germany's ECB rate setter Joachim Nagel had reiterated on
Wednesday that it needed to take rate cuts gradually.
Analysts at Barclays, meanwhile, expect only one rate cut at
most from the Fed this year.
"Risks are now skewing toward the Fed delivering no cuts
this year, and we are putting somewhat more weight on
off-baseline scenarios where rate hikes enter the conversation,"
they said in a note to clients.
'JEALOUSY AND RAGE'
Ukraine's government bonds continued to climb on the peace
talk hopes, although there was angst among top European
politicians that a deal was being forced on Kyiv and could
encourage more Russian aggression in future.
"Frigid spinster Europe is mad with jealousy and rage,"
Dmitry Medvedev, a former Russian president, wrote on Telegram.
He said Europe had not been warned of the Putin-Trump call or
consulted about its content.
"It shows its real role in the world," he said. "Europe's
time is over."
Back in FX markets, the dollar was 0.2% weaker
at 154.15 yen, having jumped 1.3% on Wednesday. The yen was
licking its wounds at 153.95 yen per dollar, although it
remained up about 2% for the year so far.
Among the main commodities, oil prices extended their recent
fall as the hopes for a Russia and Ukraine peace deal bolstered
the possibility of an easing of Russian oil sanctions that have
disrupted supply flows.
U.S. crude fell 1% to $70.64 a barrel, after dropping
2.7% overnight, and Brent was also 1% lower at $74.43,
having dropped 2.4% overnight.
Gold rose 0.5% to $2,918 per ounce, not far from its
record high of $2,942.70 hit on Tuesday.