(Updates with latest prices )
* STOXX 600 rises on day, set for worst month since 2022
* Euro zone inflation rises on oil shock, data shows
* Government bond yields steady
By Elizabeth Howcroft
PARIS, March 31 (Reuters) - European shares eked out
small gains in morning trading on Tuesday but were still on
track for their worst month since 2022, while oil prices were
set for a record monthly rise, as traders came to the end of a
tumultuous March dominated by the Iran war.
Iran attacked a fully-loaded oil tanker off Dubai early on
Tuesday after President Donald Trump warned the United States
would obliterate Iran's energy plants and oil wells if it does
not open the Strait of Hormuz. Still, markets got a lift from a
Wall Street Journal report that Trump had told aides he is
willing to end the military campaign even if the strait remains
largely closed.
The war, which began with U.S. and Israel launching coordinated
strikes against Iran on February 28, has sent shockwaves across
global markets, with oil prices surging while bonds, gold, and
safe haven currencies have fallen.
At 0958 GMT, Europe's STOXX 600 was up 0.7% on the day
, as was the FTSE 100. However, the STOXX 600
remained on track for its steepest monthly loss since 2022, a
break from its previous eight months in a row of gains.
Equity markets are "taking the U.S. administration at their
word, that they're going to end the war," said Colin Graham,
head of multi-asset strategies at Dutch asset manager Robeco.
"They haven't moved to day-two where the Strait of Hormuz
could still be closed."
As prices were moved by contradictory reports about the U.S.
plans, interpreting Tuesday's moves was complicated by it being
the last day of the month and quarter, when large asset managers
typically rebalance their portfolios back to their target
allocations.
INFLATION AND GROWTH FEARS
Brent crude futures were up 1.5% on the day at $114.44 a
barrel, on track for their biggest monthly gain on
record, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures were up 0.5% at
$103.36.
Oil prices have surged as a result of the war, due to Iran's
effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which carries about a
fifth of the world's oil supply.
The oil shock meant euro zone inflation soared past the European
Central Bank's 2% target in March, data showed.
Euro zone government bond yields were steady, with the
German 10-year yield at 3.0324%.
Government bond yields had retreated from multi-year highs on
Monday after rising sharply this month because of the conflict,
with investors appearing to refocus on the risk of weaker growth
stemming from the energy shock.
The European Union's energy chief has told governments to
prepare for "prolonged disruption" to energy markets as a result
of the war, ahead of an emergency meeting on Tuesday.
"If the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for the next week or
two, then I think we'll be raising our probabilities of
recession in our scenario analysis," Robeco's Graham said,
adding that this was not yet the case.
Developed market currencies were broadly steady, but the
dollar was still on track for its biggest monthly gain since
July, having held up as a safe-haven currency. The euro
was at $1.1468, on track for its worst month since July
.
Japan's finance minister said that the government was ready to
respond "on all fronts" against foreign exchange volatility,
underscoring Tokyo's alarm over the yen's recent slide.
Gold was up 1.1%, at $4,561.05, on track for its biggest
monthly drop since 2008. Goldman Sachs said it continued to
expect gold prices will reach $5,400 per troy ounce by end-2026.