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Investors wait for Fed signals after rollercoaster few
days
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Microsoft ( MSFT ), Meta and Tesla reporting results later
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Europe hits record high after China AI-driven volatility
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Czech central bank wants a bitcoin stash
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Jan 29 (Reuters) - World markets were suddenly
looking calmer on Wednesday as the week's rollercoaster ride for
stock markets morphed into wait-and-see ahead of the Federal
Reserve's first rate meeting of the year and results from
Microsoft ( MSFT ), Meta and Tesla.
The Fed is widely expected to end a three-meeting run of
rate cuts later and stay on hold, but investors will be eager to
get a sense of just what it makes of new U.S. President Donald
Trump's eventful first nine days back in charge.
There was plenty to be getting on with before that though.
European shares climbed to a record high early on, as strong
results from Dutch chip equipment maker ASML sent its
stock soaring nearly 11% and the wider tech sector up
4.5%.
The parts of Asia that weren't on Lunar New Year holidays
had gained overnight too as had Wall Street before that.
Investors seemed to have papered over the global rout
suffered on Monday when the emergence of lower-cost Chinese AI
model, DeepSeek, wiped more than half a trillion dollars off
Nvidia's ( NVDA ) value alone.
With the Fed looming on the horizon, currency and bond
markets were mostly in a holding pattern.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was at 4.52%, 3 bps lower on
the day. European yields dipped with the ECB expected to cut its
rates again on Thursday, while the yen nudged higher
to 155.24 per dollar after Bank of Japan meeting minutes pointed
to more rate hikes there.
State Street's head of global macro strategy Michael
Metcalfe said that after all the recent market dramas, Wednesday
was, in theory, going to have some actual predictability.
"Today is one day of certainty in that we know the Fed won't
move rates," he said.
Despite the noise around Trump trade tariffs, State Street
expects Fed chief Jerome Powell to maintain the message that
rates are likely to keep falling, while the return of calm in
stock markets was also a positive.
"Two days in and it doesn't look like there is broader
contagion," Metcalfe said.
BIG TECH EARNINGS
Futures for the U.S. S&P 500 were up 0.2%, following
a 0.9% rise on Tuesday. Nasdaq futures pointed 0.4%
higher following its 2% rebound and Frankfurt-listed Nvidia ( NVDA )
shares were 2% higher again.
Attention is now on the mega-cap tech company earnings
coming up on Wall Street later from Facebook owner Meta
Platforms ( META ), Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Tesla.
"While questions remain unanswered, the market is voting
that the innovation that DeepSeek could bring to the ecosystem
will unlikely impact the AI capex cycle and could even lead to
new channel of demand for GPUs (graphics processing units),"
Pepperstone strategist Chris Weston said.
Traders were also digesting Trump's latest tariff threats.
The White House said he still planned to hit Mexico and
Canada with steep tariffs on Saturday and that he was "very
much" considering fresh tariffs on China at the weekend.
There wasn't much reaction from the Mexican peso. It
edged up slightly to 20.5169 per dollar, while Canada's currency
was a touch stronger at C$1.4394 versus the greenback.
Oil prices eased slightly, with Brent crude oil futures
dipping 0.2% to $77.35 per barrel after settling up 0.5%
overnight. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures
edged down about 0.1% to $73.70, following Tuesday's 0.8% rise.
The day's crypto action meanwhile came from the Czech
Republic where its central bank Governor Ales Michl said in an
interview with the Financial Times he would present a plan to
the bank's board on Thursday to buy bitcoin.
He added that, if approved, the bank could eventually hold
as much as 5% of its 140 billion-euro ($146.13 billion) reserves
in the cryptocurrency.