* US stock futures firm as Brent slides 8%
* Iran says it will halt attacks as long as US does
* Yields, dollar dip as market pares chance of Fed hike
(Updates with U.S. pre-open prices, changes analysts' quote)
By Wayne Cole and Sruthi Shankar
July 27 (Reuters) - Stock and bond markets across the globe
staged a relief rally on Monday as easing Middle East tensions
sent oil prices sliding and soothed inflation worries ahead of a
packed week of central bank meetings and earnings reports.
U.S. President Donald Trump halted a two-week bombing
campaign against Iran, with U.S. officials reportedly concerned
over the depletion of air defence weapons. Iran said it would
pause its own attacks for as long as the U.S. holds fire.
The lull in fighting over the Strait of Hormuz saw Brent
crude slide 7.8% to $89.41 a barrel, while U.S. crude
dropped nearly 7% to $83.2.
Europe's STOXX 600 climbed 0.9%, closing in on
early July's all-time highs. Economically sensitive retail
and travel stocks rallied more than 2%, although
a drop in oil stocks weighed on the broader market.
S&P 500 futures rose 0.9% and Nasdaq futures
jumped 1.4%, setting up Wall Street for an upbeat start.
Most major currencies advanced against the dollar, as
traders slightly pared back the probability of rate hikes from
the Federal Reserve this week.
The euro edged up 0.2% to $1.139 and the dollar
dipped 0.2% against the yen to 163.64.
The U.S. central bank's decision is due on Wednesday and
markets imply around a one-in-three chance of a rate rise,
though most analysts doubt Chair Kevin Warsh would be in favour
of such a move.
"Since the last FOMC meeting, inflation, labour market and
consumption data have all been sufficiently comfortable to
prevent the need for aggressive hiking. What was also a source
of comfort was that the oil price was closer to $70 than $100,"
said Samy Chaar, chief economist at Lombard Odier.
Chaar said the relatively elevated oil price creates a
window for the hawks at the U.S. central bank to push for rate
hikes. "But we're not there yet. I think it depends on how long
the tensions in the Middle East persist," he added.
The pullback in oil helped 10-year Treasury yields
fall 4.3 basis points to 4.64% on Monday, moving
further below last week's 18-month high and set for their
largest one-day fall since June 24. European government bond
yields also fell across the board.
The Bank of England will announce its policy decision on
Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday, and both are expected
to hold steady, while remaining cautious about inflation risks
ahead.
TECH EARNINGS TO TEST BULLS
About one-third of S&P 500 companies report results this
week, with earnings on track to boast a 26.5% increase over last
year, according to LSEG IBES data.
With expectations so high and mounting unease over the vast
cost of AI capex, even blockbuster results may not be enough to
please investors.
The massive sums involved were underlined by a Wall Street
Journal report that Nvidia ( NVDA ) was in talks to provide a
roughly $250-billion backstop for OpenAI as part of a data
centre project.
Companies reporting this week include tech darlings
Microsoft ( MSFT ), Meta Platforms ( META ), Amazon ( AMZN ),
Apple ( AAPL ) and Qualcomm ( QCOM ), along with a host of
industrial, defence and healthcare stocks.
Yet, in a sign of insatiable demand for anything AI, Chinese
chipmaker CXMT Corp soared 466% in its Shanghai
trading debut on Monday following Asia's biggest IPO this year.
Data highlights include U.S. advance second-quarter GDP with
growth expected to pick up to an annualised 1.5% after a soft
start to the year. The June PCE price index, personal income and
consumption, weekly jobless claims, second quarter employment
cost index and July Michigan consumer sentiment round out the
week's diary.
The euro zone's schedule includes flash Q2 GDP, July
economic sentiment, consumer confidence, flash inflation and
June unemployment.
The Ifo Institute's survey on Monday showed German business
morale grew more than expected in July thanks to significantly
improved expectations.
In commodity markets, the drop in yields helped
non-interest-paying gold climb 1.1% to $4,098.76 an ounce
.
(Reporting by Wayne Cole and Sruthi Shankar; Editing by Stephen
Coates, Sam Holmes, Mrigank Dhaniwala, Amanda Cooper and
Saumyadeb Chakrabarty)