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MSCI index down for fourth-straight session
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Dollar slips but poised for weekly gain
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US retail sales slightly above expectations
(Updated at 4:03 p.m. ET/2103 GMT)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, Nov 15 (Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks
was set for its biggest weekly drop in two months and the
10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit its highest level in 5-1/2
months on Friday as economic data and comments from Federal
Reserve officials suggested a slower pace of interest-rate cuts
ahead.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Thursday the central bank
did not need to rush to lower interest rates due to ongoing
economic growth, a solid job market and inflation that remains
above its 2% target.
The U.S. Commerce Department reported on Friday that retail
sales rose 0.4% last month after an upwardly revised 0.8%
advance in September. The growth topped the 0.3% rise expected
by economists polled by Reuters, after a previously reported
0.4% gain in September.
"In the last 48 hours we've had some pretty big changes, not
just from the election but from economic data that was better
than expected and Powell speaking about not having to be as
aggressive on interest-rate cuts," said Adam Rich, deputy chief
investment officer for Vaughan Nelson in Houston.
"Market expectations for interest-rate cuts have come down
materially and also the market is re-adjusting after a pretty
bullish reaction to the U.S. election."
In addition, the Labor Department said on Friday that import
prices unexpectedly rose 0.3% last month after an unrevised 0.4%
decline in September amid higher prices for fuels and other
goods. Analysts had expected a decline of 0.1%.
Equities had rallied after the U.S. presidential election, as
investors gravitated toward assets expected to benefit from
President-elect Donald Trump's policies in his second term after
he pledged to impose higher tariffs on imports, reduce taxes and
loosen government regulations.
But the gains have fizzled in recent days as markets try to
calibrate the Fed's rate-cut trajectory and any legislative
policy changes.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell
305.87 points, or 0.70%, to 43,444.99, the S&P 500 fell
78.55 points, or 1.32%, to 5,870.62 and the Nasdaq Composite
fell 427.53 points, or 2.24%, to 18,680.12. Each of the
three major indexes closed at record highs on Monday.
For the week, the S&P 500 fell 2.08%, the Nasdaq declined
3.15%, and the Dow lost 1.24%.
Other Fed officials made comments on Friday that also
clouded the picture on the timing and magnitude of more rate
cuts.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
slumped 8.53 points, or 1.00%, to 842.67. It was on track for
its fourth-straight decline and biggest weekly percentage
decline since early September, around 2.4%.
In Europe, the STOXX 600 index closed down 0.77%
but eked out a small weekly gain, its first in four weeks.
Bond yields and the dollar have surged not just on growth
prospects but also on concerns that Trump's policies may
rekindle inflation after a long battle against price pressures
following the pandemic. In addition, tariffs could lead to
increased government borrowing, further ballooning the fiscal
deficit and potentially causing the Fed to alter its course of
monetary-policy easing.
The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency
against peers including the euro and Japan's yen, was 0.12%
lower on the day to 106.75 with the euro off 0.02% at
$1.0528.
The greenback had risen for five straight sessions and was
poised for its biggest weekly percentage gain since early
October.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 1.24%
to 154.31. Sterling was down 0.45% to $1.2608.
Expectations for a 25-basis-point cut at the Fed's December
meeting stood at 58.4% on Friday, down from 72.2% in the prior
session, and 85.5% a month ago, according to CME's FedWatch
Tool.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose
1.9 basis points to 4.439% after earlier reaching 4.505%, its
highest level since May 31. The yield is up about 13 bps this
week and is set for its eighth weekly rise in the past nine.
U.S. crude settled down 2.45% to $67.02 a barrel and
Brent fell to settle at $71.04 per barrel, down 2.09% on
the day, as investors digested a slower Fed rate-cut path and
waning Chinese demand.