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Global stock index sticks close to Thursday's record
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Consumer sentiment dips to lowest since May
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Dollar rises with Treasury yields
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Gold trading near record highs
(Updates prices after U.S. stock market close)
By Sinéad Carew and Iain Withers
NEW YORK/LONDON, Sept 12 (Reuters) - MSCI's global
equities index edged higher on Friday, after registering a
record close in the prior session, while U.S. Treasury yields
rebounded after sliding the day before when expectations climbed
for U.S. rate cuts.
The University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers showed that
U.S. consumer sentiment fell for a second straight month in
September to its lowest point since May, as consumers saw rising
risks to business conditions, the labor market and inflation.
Consumer inflation expectations for the next year stayed at
4.8% but inflation expectations for the next five years rose to
3.9% from last month's 3.5%.
"The University of Michigan sentiment study came in worse
than expected and more importantly inflation expectations
remained pretty high. That's sending yields a little higher,"
said Jack Ablin, founding partner and chief investment
strategist at Cresset Capital.
"Investors worry that expectations dictate reality and
perhaps consumers will act accordingly if they expect inflation
to be higher than usual ... and just perpetuate the inflation
hamster wheel."
Wall Street was a mixed bag after all three of its main indexes
registered record closing highs on Thursday, when investors
reacted bullishly to weaker-than-expected jobs data by ramping
up bets that the Federal Reserve would make three rate cuts in a
row, including a cut on September 17 after its next meeting.
"The market feels a little stretched and toppy. And now
investors in the market are going to focus on next Wednesday and
exactly what Jay Powell says, how he says it. Does he sound more
dovish? What lines did he delete? What lines did he add?," said
Kenny Polcari, partner and chief market strategist at SlateStone
Wealth in Jupiter, Florida, referring to Fed Chair Jerome
Powell's press conference and the Fed's written statement.
"Rates are going lower for sure but I do think the market
has gotten ahead of itself in terms of valuation."
Thursday's U.S. consumer price report had been seen as the last
major hurdle before the Fed meeting. But while prices showed a
bigger-than-expected increase, market participants kept their
focus on a separate report that showed a sharp rise in
unemployment claims.
On Wall Street the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell
273.78 points, or 0.59%, to 45,834.22 and the S&P 500
fell 3.18 points, or 0.05%, to 6,584.29. The Nasdaq Composite
rose 98.03 points, or 0.45%, to 22,141.10 for another
record closing high.
For the week, the S&P 500 gained 1.59% while the Nasdaq rose
2.03% and the Dow climbed 0.95%.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose
0.70 points, or 0.07%, to 972.15 and the pan-European STOXX 600
index closed down 0.09%, after giving up earlier
gains.
In currencies, the U.S. dollar rose on Friday, a day after
falling on a surge in U.S. jobless claims and modest inflation,
as investors prepared for interest rate cuts after a roughly
nine-month hiatus.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a
basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.05%
to 97.60.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened 0.26%
to 147.58.
U.S. and Japanese finance ministers on Friday released a
statement reaffirming that neither country would target currency
levels in their policies.
The euro was up 0.02% at $1.1735. On Thursday the
European Central Bank kept rates unchanged and signalled that it
was in a "good place" on policy. After the meeting, ECB sources
told Reuters the December meeting would be the most realistic
time frame to debate whether another cut was needed to buffer
the economy.
Britain's economy recorded zero monthly growth in July, in line
with forecasts but showing a sharp drop in factory output,
weighing on sterling, which weakened 0.09% to $1.356.
In U.S. Treasuries, yields rose as investors looked ahead to the
Fed's policy meeting.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 5.1
basis points to 4.062%, from 4.011% late on Thursday, while the
30-year bond yield rose 2.7 basis points to 4.6776%.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step
with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, rose
2.9 basis points to 3.558%.
In energy markets, oil prices settled higher after a Ukrainian
drone attack suspended loadings from the largest port in western
Russia, but gains were capped by concerns about U.S. demand.
U.S. crude settled up 0.51% or 32 cents at $62.69 a
barrel and Brent ended at $66.99 per barrel, up 0.93%,
or 62 cents, on the day.
In precious metals, gold was showing its fourth weekly gain in a
row and trading near its Tuesday record high, as investors
looked ahead to U.S. rate cuts.
Spot gold rose 0.3% to $3,644.67 an ounce. It hit a
record high of $3,673.95 on Tuesday.