(Updates prices throughout, adds latest news, moves US futures
higher, adds Euro zone manufacturing survey)
* Oil prices surge nearly 3% as Gulf hostilities threaten
Strait of Hormuz reopening
* AI demand drives global stocks to record highs despite
Middle East tensions
* Fed speakers, payroll data in focus as rate hike odds
remain split
By Wayne Cole and Amanda Cooper
SYDNEY/LONDON, June 1 (Reuters) - Global stocks held
steady near record highs on Monday as the AI boom continued to
drive demand, offsetting news of fresh attacks in the Gulf that
challenged optimism about a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz
and drove up oil prices.
Iran and the United States said they had both carried out
strikes on military targets, and each accused the other of
acting aggressively as diplomatic efforts to end three months of
war drag on.
While negotiators from Washington and Tehran are apparently
working to hammer out a deal, U.S. President Donald Trump had
been silent on their progress until posting that everyone should
"just sit back and relax".
Speaking on Saturday, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said
the U.S. was ready to restart attacks on Iran if a deal could
not be reached. On Monday, news emerged that U.S. forces struck
Iranian targets over the weekend and Tehran had hit back, while
Kuwaiti defences were reportedly intercepting missile and drone
strikes.
Brent crude futures rose nearly 3.3% to $94.12 a
barrel, which in turn prompted a selloff in government bonds,
which have been hurt by growing expectations that interest rates
will rise to combat any spikes in inflation.
S&P 500 futures firmed 0.3%, while Nasdaq futures
firmed 0.3% after the benchmark indexes hit records last
week.
The MSCI All-World index was flat on the
day, close to record highs, as markets from Tokyo to Seoul
traded at or near all-time peaks, underpinned by avid demand for
anything AI-related.
"Even though there have been attacks from both sides, the
market is holding on to the fact that negotiations are ongoing,
and an elusive Iran/U.S. deal to end the war in the Middle East
and to reopen the Strait of Hormuz will still be found," XTB
research director Kathleen Brooks said.
"As the focus switches to a raft of macro releases later
this week, investors will need to watch how this plays out, and
any delay in reaching a deal could knock market sentiment," she
said.
The power of the AI rush was underlined by data showing
South Korea's exports grew at the strongest annual rate in more
than four decades in May to hit a record $87.75 billion.
Nvidia ( NVDA ) boss Jensen Huang kicks off the Computex
trade show in Taiwan on Monday with a speech about AI in which
he is expected to expound on his company's latest product
efforts as well as the island's central role in the industry.
PAYROLLS AHEAD
European stocks were down marginally on the day, as
gains in energy shares were offset by losses in airlines and
defence shares.
The inflationary pulse from oil continued to hamper bond
markets as U.S. 10-year yields rose 1.2 basis points
to 4.465%, while yields on 10-year German debt rose
5 bps on the day to 2.98%.
"Market needs an agreement to open the Strait of Hormuz, to
provide the next leg higher in equities and lower in rates,"
wrote Mohit Kumar, chief European economist at Jefferies, in a
note.
"As we enter June, focus would turn to the central bank
meetings over the coming weeks," he said.
A host of Fed members are set to speak this week, while
major U.S. data include the ISM survey of manufacturing and the
May payrolls report on Friday.
Market forecasts are for a solid rise of 85,000 in
employment, keeping the jobless rate steady at 4.3%. Anything
stronger would likely see the odds of a hike narrow further.
"The lineup of Federal Reserve speakers throughout the week
should continue to reinforce a balanced two-way policy approach,
with officials remaining open to both rate hikes and rate cuts
depending on incoming data," Pepperstone chief market strategist
Chris Weston said.
"Consequently, expectations may build that the Fed gradually
moves away from its easing bias and towards a more neutral
policy stance in the months ahead."
Markets imply a 50-50 chance the Federal Reserve will have
to hike rates by year-end, which has helped the dollar remain
firm against a range of currencies, most notably, the Japanese
yen.
The dollar was up another 0.1% against the yen at 159.44
, just below the 160 barrier that many believe could
trigger another round of official intervention to boost the
Japanese currency.
Elsewhere, growth in euro zone manufacturing lost momentum
in May as demand for goods stagnated and supply-chain
disruptions linked to the Middle East war pushed input costs to
their highest in four years, a survey showed on Monday.