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Yen surges again after two bouts of spikes on Friday
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Intervention worries swirl as Takaichi vows to act
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Precious metals keep flying on safety flows, soft dollar
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Investors await Fed policy meeting later in the week
(Updates prices in paragraphs 12, 18, 21)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Jan 26 (Reuters) - Gold charged past $5,000 an
ounce for the first time on Monday as an array of geopolitical
tensions pounded the dollar, while investors remained on
tenterhooks about possible official buying of the yen after a
series of surges in the Japanese currency.
The yen rose as much as 1.5% in Europe, leaving the
dollar at its lowest since mid-November at 153.405 yen, after
sharp spikes in the Japanese currency on Friday sparked
speculation over potential intervention. The New York Federal
Reserve conducted rate checks on Friday, sources told Reuters,
raising the chance of joint U.S.-Japan intervention - the first
in 15 years - to halt the Japanese currency's slide.
"The market's inclination is to short the yen but the
possibility of coordination means it no longer is a one-way
bet," said Prashant Newnaha, senior rates strategist at TD
Securities in Singapore.
JAPANESE CAMPAIGN PROMISES
The yen has been under relentless pressure since Sanae
Takaichi took over as Japan's prime minister in October.
Her campaign promises to ramp up spending and cut taxes
ahead of a snap election on February 8 have added to concern
that Japan's already stretched finances could become even less
manageable, which has pushed government bond yields to record
highs, just as the Bank of Japan is slowly raising interest
rates to tackle inflation.
As the yen strengthened, Japan's Nikkei dropped
1.75%.
Other equity markets were more stable. Europe's STOXX 600
was steady, while S&P 500 futures fell 0.1%, as
traders counted down to a slew of earnings from big tech
companies and a Federal Reserve policy meeting later this week.
U.S. President Donald Trump provided temporary relief to markets
last week when he appeared to back down from threats to slap
tariffs on European allies unless they let him take over
Greenland.
However, with the prospect of more sanctions targeting Iran in
the offing, there has been no let-up in investor anxiety over
geopolitics and the dollar is bearing the brunt of that.
With the dollar plumbing its lowest levels against a basket
of major currencies in four months and volatility picking
up, gold drew in a fresh wave of capital, hitting yet another
record high in what has been a blistering rally over the last
six months.
"Gold clearly has a quite compelling story, in terms of
central bank reserve diversification, which you would have
thought gets reinforced by all of this intervention talk and
events in the U.S. more generally," Daiwa Capital Markets
economist Chris Scicluna said.
Possible U.S. involvement in the currency market was "very
significant", he said, adding: "If the U.S. authorities really
are keen to weaken their currency, then that's not just against
the yen, but against other Asian currencies as well, whilst you
have the broader portfolio diversification theme away from the
U.S. also likely to play a role."
Gold was last up 2.1% at $5,089 an ounce, taking its gains in
January to more than 17%, while silver rose almost 7% to $110 an
ounce, up over 50% this month.
INTERVENTION CHATTER KEEPS YEN ALOFT
Top Japanese authorities said on Monday they have been in close
coordination with the United States on foreign exchange, leaving
traders on edge at the prospect of an intervention that could
come any time.
Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo, said the
warning from the rate check could help reset positioning and
remind the market there's a line near 159-160.
BOJ money market data released on Monday suggested there had
been no intervention on Friday.
The yen rallied across the board on Monday, lifting off
record lows against the euro and Swiss franc and multi-decade
lows against sterling.
The euro was up 0.2% at $1.185, just a whisker away from
September's 4-1/2-year highs.
Investors' focus this week will also be on the Federal Reserve,
which is expected to hold rates steady at the first meeting
since the Trump administration's criminal investigation of Chair
Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May.
Oil prices, meanwhile, edged up on Monday, having risen about 3%
on Friday, as traders worried about the impact on global supply
from possible U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil shipments, while a
cold front in the United States hit production in the key shale
basin.
Brent crude futures were up 0.15% at $65.98 a barrel,
while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up 0.1% at
$61.12 per barrel.
(Additional reporting by Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing
by Jacqueline Wong, Gareth Jones, Aidan Lewis)