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Japan's Nikkei, Taiwanese shares hit record highs
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Investors hope for good U.S. CPI figures after benign PPI
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Fed rate cut next week fully priced in, small chance of 50
bps
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Oil holds gains, gold hovers near all-time highs
By Stella Qiu
SYDNEY, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Japanese and Taiwanese
shares set records on Thursday as technology companies rallied
while investors wagered that U.S. inflation data will be well
behaved enough to ensure an interest rate cut next week, and
perhaps two more by year end.
Before then, the European Central Bank is widely expected to
hold rates steady later in the day but a fraught trade and
political outlook means it will likely keep alive the prospect
of further easing.
Meanwhile, oil prices held gains after Poland downed
suspected Russian drones in its airspace and as the U.S. pushed
the EU to impose new sanctions on buyers of Russian oil. Gold
climbed near all-time highs.
Japan's Nikkei gained 0.8% to hit a record as tech
and energy firms as well as utilities jumped. Taiwanese shares
rose 1% to also set a record as leading chipmaker TSMC
gained 2.5%.
SoftBank rose almost 9% after Stargate Project
partner Oracle soared 36% on Wall Street overnight in
the biggest one-day percentage gain since 1992 as it forecast a
demand surge from AI firms for its cloud computing services.
Nasdaq futures rose 0.2% and S&P 500 futures
inched up 0.1%.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was off 0.1% due in part to drag from Hong Kong
where the Hang Seng index was down 0.9%.
Overnight, a benign reading on U.S. producer prices led
markets to price in more chance of three interest rate cuts from
the Federal Reserve this year. Investors have fully priced in a
quarter-point move from the Fed at next week's meeting, with an
8% chance of a 50 basis-point cut.
With PPI out of the way, investors are now focused on the
consumer prices index for August due out later in the day. A
Reuters poll showed the headline CPI likely rose 2.9% from a
year earlier, the biggest increase since January, while the core
measure likely held at 3.1%.
"Unless CPI delivers a significant upside shock, investors
are likely to maintain their dovish outlook," said Julien
Lafargue, chief market strategist at Barclays Private Bank.
"This shift in inflation dynamics could prove pivotal for
the U.S. Fed, which now faces fewer constraints in pursuing a
more aggressive rate-cutting cycle. With inflation appearing
less of a threat, the Fed may find room to stimulate the economy
more assertively."
In foreign exchange, movement was muted with the U.S. dollar
struggling for direction. The dollar index was last flat at
97.81, a touch above a seven-week trough of 97.25.
The Australian dollar hit a 10-month top of $0.6636
overnight before steadying at $0.6616 on Thursday.
In the bond market, 10-year Treasury yields
edged up 2 basis points to 4.0531%, having fallen 4 bps
overnight as a solid 10-year note auction alleviated some
concern about investor appetite for long-term U.S. debt.
An even more telling gauge will be the Treasury's $22
billion sale of 30-year bonds on Thursday. The 30-year yield
rose 2 bps to 4.7028%, having come down more than 30
basis points since it briefly topped 5% a week ago.
In commodity markets, oil prices held gains, having settled
up over 1%. U.S. crude was flat at $63.65 a barrel, while
Brent was little changed at $67.49.
Spot gold prices gained 0.1% to $3,644 an ounce.