(Updates at 0325 GMT)
By Rae Wee
SINGAPORE, Aug 16 (Reuters) - Asia shares were headed
for a weekly gain on Friday and Japan's benchmark Nikkei was
poised for its best week in over four years as upbeat risk
sentiment spilled over from Wall Street, while the dollar and
U.S. Treasury yields held broadly steady.
Last week's market turmoil was replaced by calmer conditions
this week after a raft of U.S. economic data allayed recession
fears in the world's largest economy and pushed back against
expectations for aggressive U.S. rate cuts.
"Our assessment is that the market fallout from the weak
early August U.S. data was disproportionate and in large part
reflected the rapid unwind of crowded positions in some
markets," said Jonas Goltermann, deputy chief markets economist
at Capital Economics.
"While the risk of a recession in the U.S. has increased a
little, there are few signs of a more substantial crisis
brewing."
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
advanced 1.18% and was set to rise more than 2%
for the week, while U.S. futures extended gains following a
strong overnight cash session on Wall Street.
S&P 500 futures rose 0.13%, while Nasdaq futures
added 0.22%. Similarly, EUROSTOXX 50 futures
gained 0.25% and FTSE futures were little changed.
Strong U.S. retail sales data and low weekly jobless claims
were the latest shot in the arm for the positive risk mood,
following a benign inflation report earlier this week that
reaffirmed bets for imminent Fed rate cuts, but likely at a
measured pace.
Markets are now pricing in just a 25% chance of a
50-basis-point cut from the Federal Reserve next month, down
from 55% a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
"The totality of data tells us disinflation is continuing
and the Fed is almost certain to cut rates in September by
25bps," said David Chao, Invesco's global market strategist for
Asia Pacific ex-Japan.
"But I do believe that the July inflation report diminishes
the chances of a super-size cut, though this was never in the
cards."
Japan's Nikkei was a notable outperformer in Asia,
jumping nearly 3%.
Chinese blue-chips ticked marginally higher, while
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 1.7%.
The Nikkei, which suffered heavy losses last week
exacerbated by the unwinding of yen-funded carry trades, was
poised for a weekly gain of about 8%, its best performance since
April 2020.
Friday's gains were in part helped by a weaker yen which
last stood at 148.88 per dollar, languishing near a
two-week low of 149.40 hit in the previous session and some
distance away from last week's seven-month peak.
The Swiss franc, which also surged last week on
the back of a flight to safety, was little changed at 0.8713 per
dollar and looked set to lose nearly 0.7% for the week.
In other currencies, the euro struggled to break
above the $1.10 level against a firmer dollar, which was buoyed
by elevated U.S. Treasury yields.
The two-year yield hovered near an over one-week
high and last stood at 4.0700%, while the benchmark 10-year
yield steadied at 3.8997%.
In commodities, oil prices edged lower on Friday, though
were set for a weekly gain as the upbeat U.S. economic data
eased investor worries about a potential recession in the top
oil consuming nation.
Brent crude futures dipped 0.22% to $80.86 per
barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures
eased 0.32% to $77.90 a barrel. Still, the two were eyeing a
weekly gain of more than 1% each.
Spot gold dipped 0.19% to $2,451.56 an ounce.
(Editing by Shri Navaratnam)