(Updates asset prices in US morning trade)
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Fifth day of Iran/Israel fighting keeps investors on edge
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Trump says he wants a "real end" to dispute
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Crude prices climb as much as 2%, gold rises
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Fed expected to hold rates, Chair's comments in focus
By Isla Binnie and Amanda Cooper
NEW YORK/LONDON, June 17 (Reuters) -
Wall Street opened slightly lower while oil and gold rose as
Tuesday marked the fifth day of fighting between Israel and
Iran, with the risk of a widening conflict dampening risk
appetite in a week also packed with key central bank decisions.
U.S. President Donald Trump urged everyone to evacuate
Tehran, cut short his visit to the Group of Seven summit in
Canada, and said he wanted a "real end" to the nuclear dispute.
Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said Iran's leader could
face the same fate as deposed Iraqi President Saddam Hussein.
With tensions running high, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
fell 0.19%, the S&P 500 fell 0.26%, and the Nasdaq
Composite fell 0.36%, following global counterparts
lower.
U.S. crude rose 2.26% to $73.39 a barrel and Brent
rose to $75.09 per barrel, up 2.54% on the day.
Further raising the stakes, the BOJ, Federal Reserve, Bank
of England and Swiss National Bank all meet this week.
"Investors are trying to take all this on board. It is very
difficult at the moment, I think. And there's an understandable
degree of nervousness. Should I really be holding on to these
stocks now at these levels?" Chris Beauchamp, chief market
analyst at IG, said.
"Once the central bank parade is out of the way, then we
might get a better sense of where they view things."
Traditional safe-haven assets benefited from the risk-off
mood. U.S. Treasuries rose, pushing yields 1.8 basis points
lower on the 10-year and 1.6 basis points lower on the 30-year
notes. Gold prices edged up 0.14%.
Stocks in Europe sagged, leaving the STOXX 600 down
almost 1% on the day and around its lowest in three weeks, while
German government bond yields held steady.
No disruptions to crude supply have been reported yet,
although news of a collision between two ships in the Gulf of
Oman sent another brief jolt through the oil market overnight.
Analysts said volatility levels in financial markets do not
appear to reflect the geopolitical tensions.
The VIX volatility index has risen in the last week,
but at around 20.8 is well below April's highs above 60 and
nowhere near the records, above 80, hit during the 2008
financial crisis.
"This is happening at a point in time where we are less
sensitive, first of all the fact being that oil prices are still
down year to date, and secondly the macro economy is ... showing
that financial markets are relatively resilient at the moment,"
Bjarne Breinholt Thomsen, head of cross asset strategy at Danske
Bank, said in a webinar on Tuesday.
FOCUS ON THE FED
The Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates unchanged on
Wednesday, but market participants will be closely following
comments from Chair Jerome Powell, who Trump has repeatedly
criticised for not lowering interest rates.
"One thing that settled the markets earlier this year
was the independence of the Fed and the fact they would not be
influenced, but data-driven," said Matt Rubin, Chief Investment
Officer at Richmond, Virginia-based Cary Street Partners.
"Jerome Powell is going to continue to express that they
are focused on data at this point, and that data does not
warrant a cut."
Policymakers will release new projections for interest
rates, which investors will assess to get a sense of how the
committee believes the Trump administration's tariffs could
affect growth and inflation.
Traders are pricing in two cuts by the end of the year.
Tariff negotiations between Japan and the United States on
the sidelines of the G7 summit fell short of a breakthrough,
while a deal with Britain left unresolved the issue of steel and
aluminium duties.
The Bank of Japan, the first major central bank to decide on
monetary policy this week, left short-term interest rates
unchanged at 0.5% as expected. The central bank said it would
slow the pace at which it is unwinding its massive holdings of
government bonds to avoid disrupting the market.
Weak demand for Japanese government bonds (JGBs) at recent
auctions, along with concern about the country's finances, sent
longer-dated borrowing costs spiralling to record highs last
month.
The yen weakened 0.12% against the dollar to 144.91.
(Additional reporting by Lucy Raitano in London and Johann M
Cherian and Ankur Banerjee in Singapore; Editing by Kim Coghill,
Bernadette Baum, David Evans and Deepa Babington)