By Yoruk Bahceli
April 20 (Reuters) - Oil prices jumped, the U.S. dollar
rose and stock futures fell on Monday as investors dealt with
conflicting messages about the Iran war and news that the Strait
of Hormuz was closed again.
In early Asian trading Brent crude futures jumped
about 7% to $96.85 a barrel and S&P 500 futures fell
about 0.9%.
The euro was down 0.3% at $1.1735 and the yen
eased around 0.2% to 158.95 per dollar.
Iran rejected new peace talks with the United States, its
state news agency reported on Sunday, hours after U.S. President
Donald Trump said he was sending envoys for talks in Pakistan
and would launch new strikes on Iran unless it accepts his
terms.
Tensions also rose after the U.S. said it seized an Iranian
cargo ship that tried to run its blockade.
The dollar's rise took it from lows it hit on Friday when
Iran's announcement that it would open the strait sent stocks up
and oil prices tumbling.
"Although clearly the news on the Strait of Hormuz closing
again is not good, ships being attacked is not good, Trump again
with his threats towards Iranian infrastructure is not good, the
market is very much looking at this as a case of: when you boil
it down, the two sides are still talking," said Michael Brown,
senior research strategist at Pepperstone in London.
"From an equity perspective, I'd probably be saying we
unwind a decent chunk of the gains that we saw on Friday, which
in hindsight was the market getting a little bit ahead of
itself."
Iran's announcement that it would open the Strait had sent
stocks and bonds surging on Friday and oil prices down as
investors bet on an end to a seven-week war that shut the Strait
of Hormuz, a vital artery for global crude and gas shipments.
"Now that Hormuz is closed again after about 12 hours of
being open, you'd probably expect most of the move that we saw
on Friday (in bonds) to unwind," Brown said.
"If it is indeed firmed up that Iran aren't going to attend
(the talks), you're going to see a much more risk-averse
reaction than we're seeing now."
MARKETS RALLIED LAST WEEK
Wall Street indexes touched record highs on Friday
while bonds, which unlike stocks are still far from recovering
their losses since the war, surged as oil prices fell and
investors pared bets on rate hikes from the European Central
Bank and Bank of England.
U.S. stocks have been supported through the past week by
expectations of robust first-quarter earnings, the bulk of which
come this week.
The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield touched its lowest
since mid-March on Friday.
The dollar dropped as the shine came off safe-haven assets
late last week, driving the dollar index, which measures
the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen
and the euro, to its lowest in seven weeks. It was 0.2% higher
early on Monday in Asian trading.
"The risk is that the market is getting ahead of itself ...
The 13-day rally in the Nasdaq is an extreme. The dollar index
has fallen for nine of the past 10 sessions," Marc Chandler of
Bannockburn Capital Markets said in a note on Sunday.