* July US CPI up 0.1% after June drop
* Mild inflation figure raises expectations of no rate hike
* Oil prices rise in volatile trading session
(Updated at 2100 (5:00 p.m. ET)
By Chris Prentice and Samuel Indyk
NEW YORK/LONDON, Aug 12 (Reuters) - Global equities were
higher on Wednesday after mild inflation data reinforced bets
the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady, while oil
prices edged higher as investors balanced lower demand against a
deadlock in U.S.-Iran talks.
The United States and Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis reported
separate ship attacks. But oil prices fell as investors weighed
lower demand forecasts.
U.S. consumer prices increased 0.1% in July, in line with
expectations, data showed on Wednesday. The small increase could
weaken the argument for an interest rate increase from the
Federal Reserve next month. Money markets have shown a roughly
50% chance of a hike heading into the data release.
The data "relieves some of the concerns that the Fed is
being pushed toward a rate hike due to inflation, which is being
fueled by higher energy prices," said Robert Pavlik, senior
portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth Management in Fairfield,
Connecticut.
Gold prices touched their highest in more than two months as
the data dented rate hike bets. U.S. Treasuries held gains,
lifting yields.
The data did not capture the most recent rise in oil prices
, which have climbed higher amid tensions between the
U.S. and Iran.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe
rose 3.90 points, or 0.34%.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
fell 21.58 points, or 0.04%, to 53,770.27, the S&P 500
rose 20.30 points, or 0.26%, to 7,748.50 and the Nasdaq
Composite rose 143.04 points, or 0.54%, to 26,588.49.
Upbeat results from AI cloud company CoreWeave ( CRWV )
after the market closed on Tuesday gave the AI trade another
boost. Other AI infrastructure providers also rose.
In Europe, the pan-continental STOXX 600 fell 0.16%.
In Asia, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan closed higher by 0.92% at
1,636.51.
Emerging market stocks rose 0.95% to 1,681.25.
TALKS TO END IRAN WAR CONTINUE
Markets were still following talks to end the war and reopen
the Strait of Hormuz to shipping traffic.
The U.S. and Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis reported separate
attacks on shipping on Tuesday, while both Iran and the U.S.
have stepped up their rhetoric in recent days.
Iran's most senior security official said on Tuesday the
Strait of Hormuz will remain closed unless the U.S. accepts
Iran's conditions.
Still, investors have been calm.
"Our base case for a long time has been a gradual but messy
de-escalation," said Dorian Carrell, head of multi-asset income
at Schroders.
"We don't expect traffic (through the Strait of Hormuz) to
go to its full capacity. We think that puts a floor on the oil
price and maintains an energy-driven inflationary driver in
markets in the near- to medium-term."
Brent futures settled up 7 cents at $88.98 a barrel
and U.S. crude also rose 7 cents at $83.27 in a volatile
session.
Prices were earlier down as forecasters cut their global
demand projections.
MARKETS ANTICIPATE A BOJ HIKE
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year NOTES rose
1.26 basis points to 4.697%.
Markets are increasingly pricing in an early rate hike in Japan,
putting pressure on the nation's shorter-dated bonds. Investors
priced in an almost 60% chance of a quarter-point hike at the
Bank of Japan's September meeting.
The yen weakened 0.07% to 159.39 per dollar,
remaining off last week's high of 155.20 after several suspected
rounds of intervention.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies, including the yen and the euro,
rose 0.17% to 99.97, with the euro down 0.14% at $1.1524.
Spot gold rose 0.92% to $4,407.12 an ounce. U.S. gold
futures settled up 0.6% at $4,467.5.