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Markets price more US rate cuts in 2025
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OPEC+ expected to extend production cuts
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Yen steadies as reports ruffle rate hike bets
(Updates with bitcoin breaking $100,000)
By Tom Westbrook
SINGAPORE, Dec 5 (Reuters) - Bitcoin broke $100,000 on
Thursday as investors bet on a friendly regulatory shift in the
U.S., while Asian stocks were firm after Wall Street indexes
notched record highs on growing confidence in U.S. interest rate
cuts.
Bitcoin
hit the $100,000 mark in the Asia morning and was
last at $101,300.
"At the end of the day, it's just a number," said Geoff
Kendrick, global head of digital assets research at Standard
Chartered.
"But the reality is we've been able to get to this level
because the industry has become institutionalised this year
particularly - and that's mostly the ETF inflows," he said,
referring to exchange traded funds approved earlier this year.
The S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow had all
notched record highs overnight. Over the past week and a half
markets have all but priced in an extra U.S. rate cut for 2025
and the implied chance of a cut in December has lifted from even
to around 75%.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was flat in morning trade as selling in Hong
Kong offset gains in Australia and Japan. Japan's Nikkei
rose about 0.6% to hit a three-week high.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell around 1%.
The closely watched U.S. ISM survey showed services sector
activity slowed in November after posting big gains in recent
months. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell three
basis points to 4.182%. They were steady in Asia trade.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made balanced comments
at a New York Times event on Wednesday, describing the economy
as in good shape but not really pushing back on market pricing
for rate cuts.
Earlier this week Fed Governor Christopher Waller had said
he was leaning towards a cut later in December. European retail
sales figures and German factory orders are due later in the
day, though the week's focus is on U.S. employment data on
Friday where a strong reading could reverse bond-market moves.
"Generally data in the U.S. has continued to be pretty
resilient," said RBC Capital Markets' chief economist in Sydney,
Su-Lin Ong, noting measures such as the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow
estimate are for solid growth at 3.2% in the fourth quarter.
"We think the market has got too much priced in."
S&P 500 futures slipped a tad while European futures
fell 0.3%. German stocks are up 4% in a week
and at record-high levels.
DOLLAR TICKS LOWER
The dollar tracked U.S. yields lower in the foreign exchange
market, although not by much. The euro was pinned at
$1.0520 by political turmoil in France, where the government
lost a confidence vote for the first time since 1962.
The yen has retraced some recent gains and
expectations for a rate hike in December have unwound following
press reports pointing to policymakers' likely caution.
It was a tad firmer at 150.31 per dollar on Thursday. The
Australian dollar, at $0.6420, was nursing what was its
heaviest fall in a month on Wednesday following
weaker-than-expected growth data.
Financial markets in South Korea were broadly steady after
President Yoon Suk Yeol's failed attempt to impose martial law
late on Tuesday triggered volatility and a political crisis.
In commodity trade lingering expectations of Chinese
stimulus supported iron ore prices, while oil inched higher
ahead of an OPEC+ meeting later in the day.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and
its allies in OPEC+ are likely to extend their latest round of
oil production cuts sources told Reuters.
Brent crude futures rose 0.2% to $72.42 a barrel.
Gold prices steadied at $2,649 an ounce.
(Editing by Sam Holmes)