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Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
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S&P 500 and European futures bounce, Nikkei slips
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U.S. jobs shock leads markets to price in more rate cuts
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Dollar flat after Friday's sharp reversal
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Oil slips as OPEC+ increases production
(Updates with shares bouncing)
By Wayne Cole
SYDNEY, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Share markets found some much
needed support in Asia on Monday as the prospect of lower
borrowing costs helped soothe concerns about the U.S. economy,
though the long-term credibility of U.S. policy remained in
doubt.
A buy-the-dip mentality led to a bounce in Wall Street and
European stock futures, and allowed the dollar to stabilise
after Friday's payrolls-induced retreat.
Treasuries ran into some profit-taking after their huge
gains but fund futures still imply an 85% chance the Federal
Reserve will cut rates in September, and ease by 100 basis
points or more by this time next year.
The prospect of a shift in rates was the only silver lining
to a dire payrolls report in which downward revisions left the
three-month average of jobs growth at 35,000 from 231,000 at the
start of the year.
"The report brings payroll growth closer in line with big
data indicators of job gains and the broader growth dataset,
both of which have slowed significantly in recent months," said
analysts at Goldman Sachs.
"Taken together, the economic data confirm our view that the
U.S. economy is growing at a below-potential pace."
Neither did the reaction of President Donald Trump instil
confidence, as the firing of the head of Labor Statistics
threatened the credibility of U.S. economic data.
Likewise, news that Trump would get to fill a governorship
position at the Federal Reserve early added to worries about the
politicisation of interest rate policy.
Analysts assume the appointee will be loyal to Trump alone,
though the president did grudgingly concede that Fed Chair
Jerome Powell would probably see out his term.
"It opens the prospect of broader support on the Fed Board
for lower rates sooner rather than later," said Ray Attrill,
head of FX research at NAB.
"Fed credibility, and the veracity of the statistics on
which they base their policy decisions, are both now under the
spotlight."
Markets have essentially already eased for the Fed, with
two-year Treasury yields down almost 25 basis points
on Friday in the biggest one-day drop since August last year.
DOLLAR DENTED
The drop in global yields seemed to help equities, with S&P
500 futures and Nasdaq futures both bouncing 0.4%.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures gained 0.6%, while FTSE futures
rose 0.5% and DAX futures 0.4%.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
firmed 0.6%, aided by a 0.8% rally in South
Korea stocks.
Japan's Nikkei fell 1.6%, in part weighed by
Friday's rebound in the yen, while Chinese blue chips
were flat.
Wall Street has taken comfort in an upbeat results season.
About two-thirds of the S&P 500 have reported and 63% have
beaten forecasts. Earnings growth is estimated at 9.8%, up from
5.8% at the start of July.
Companies reporting this week include Disney ( DIS ),
McDonald's, Caterpillar ( CAT ) and some of the large
pharmaceutical groups.
The dismal U.S. jobs data did put a dent in the dollar's
crown of exceptionalism, snuffing out what had been a promising
rally for the currency.
The dollar was a shade firmer at 147.69 yen,
having shed an eye-watering 2.3% on Friday, while the euro held
steady at $1.1583 after bouncing 1.5% on Friday.
The dollar index was pinned at 98.727, having been
toppled from last week's top of 100.250.
Sterling was restrained at $1.3282 as markets are
87% priced for the Bank of England to cut rates by a quarter
point at a meeting on Thursday.
The BoE board itself is expected to remain split on easing,
while markets still favour two further cuts by the middle of
next year.
In commodity markets, gold was flat at $3,361 an
ounce, having climbed more than 2% on Friday.
Oil prices extended their latest slide as OPEC+ agreed to
another large rise in output for September, which completely
reverses last year's cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day.
Brent dropped 0.2% to $69.51 a barrel, while U.S.
crude fell 0.1% to $67.24 per barrel.