(Updates prices before European markets open)
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Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
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Trump says Iran and Israel agree to ceasefire
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Wall St futures rise, Nikkei up 1.3%
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Dollar extends pullback, Treasury yields steady
By Wayne Cole, Stella Qiu
SYDNEY, June 24 (Reuters) - Global shares rallied and
the dollar extended declines on Tuesday as a ceasefire to end a
12-day war between Iran and Israel came into effect, while oil
prices dived to nearly two-week lows on easing concerns about
supply disruptions.
Most of the moves came after U.S. President Donald Trump
announced late on Monday that Iran and Israel had agreed to a
ceasefire. A few hours later, Trump said the ceasefire was now
in effect and urged both countries not to violate it.
Oil prices fell over 3%, having already slid 9% on Monday
when Iran made a token retaliation against a U.S. base which
came to nothing and signalled it was done for now.
With the immediate threat to the vital Strait of Hormuz shipping
lane seemingly over, U.S. crude futures fell another 3.7%
to $65.96 per barrel, the lowest since June 11 before Israel's
attacks on Iran began.
"With markets now viewing the escalation risk as over,
market attention is likely to shift towards the looming tariff
deadline in two weeks time," said Prashant Newnaha, senior
Asia-Pacific rates strategist at TD Securities.
"Our sense is that the quicker than expected resolution to
the Middle East conflict leads to expectations for a swifter
resolution on tariffs and trade deals."
Risk assets rallied, with S&P 500 futures up 0.6% and
Nasdaq futures 0.9% higher. EUROSTOXX 50 futures
jumped 1.5% and FTSE futures rose 0.4%.
The MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
jumped 2.2% while Japan's Nikkei rallied
1.3%.
Two sources told Reuters that Japan's tariff negotiator
Ryosei Akazawa is arranging his seventh visit to the United
States for as early as June 26, aiming to end tariffs that are
hurting Japan's economy.
China's blue chips rose 1.2%, while Hong Kong's Hang
Seng index gained 1.8%.
News of the ceasefire saw the dollar extend an overnight retreat
and slip 0.5% to 145.43 yen, having come off a
six-week high of 148 yen overnight. The euro rose 0.2%
to $1.1603 on Tuesday, having gained 0.5% overnight.
The yen and euro benefited from the slide in oil prices as
both the EU and Japan rely heavily on imports of oil and
liquefied natural gas, while the United States is a net
exporter.
"The market was so well hedged against a major tail-risk event
to play out...the actions and the dialogue we've seen highlight
that the tail risks have not and will highly unlikely
materialise," said Chris Weston, head of Research at
Pepperstone.
Ten-year Treasury yields were mostly steady at
4.338%, having declined 5 bps overnight after Federal Reserve
Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said the time to cut
interest rates was getting nearer as risks to the job market may
be on the rise.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell will have his own chance to comment
when appearing before Congress later on Tuesday and, so far, has
been more cautious about a near-term easing.
Markets still only imply around a 22% chance the Fed will
cut at its next meeting on July 30.
The risk-on mood saw gold prices ease 1% to $3,333 an ounce
.
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