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Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4
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Trump says Iran and Israel agree to ceasefire
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Wall St futures rise, Nikkei up 1.3%
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Dollar extends pullback, Treasury yields inch up
(Adds China open, fresh quotes from analysts)
By Wayne Cole and Stella Qiu
SYDNEY, June 24 (Reuters) - Global shares rallied and
the dollar extended declines on Tuesday after U.S. President
Donald Trump said Iran and Israel had agreed to a ceasefire,
sending oil prices into a deep dive as concerns over supply
disruptions ebbed.
Writing on his Truth Social site, Trump implied a ceasefire
would go into effect in 12 hours, after which the war would be
considered "ended".
There was no immediate comment yet from Israel. While an
Iranian official earlier confirmed that Tehran had agreed to a
ceasefire, the country's foreign minister said there would be no
cessation of hostilities unless Israel stopped its attacks.
Oil prices fell over 3%, having already slid 9% on Monday
when Iran made a token retaliation against a U.S. base, which
came to nothing and signalled it was done for now.
With the immediate threat to the vital Strait of Hormuz
shipping lane seemingly over, U.S. crude futures fell
another 3.4% to $66.15 per barrel, the lowest since June 11.
"With markets now viewing the escalation risk as over,
market attention is likely to shift towards the looming tariff
deadline in two weeks time," said Prashant Newnaha, senior
Asia-Pacific rates strategist at TD Securities.
"Our sense is that the quicker than expected resolution
to the Middle East conflict leads to expectations for a swifter
resolution on tariffs and trade deals."
Risk assets rallied, with S&P 500 futures up 0.6% and
Nasdaq futures 0.9% higher. EUROSTOXX 50 futures
jumped 1.3% and FTSE futures rose 0.4%.
The MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside
Japan jumped 1.8% while Japan's Nikkei
rallied 1.4%.
Two sources told Reuters that Japan's tariff negotiator
Ryosei Akazawa is arranging his seventh visit to the United
States for as early as June 26, aiming to end tariffs that are
hurting Japan's economy.
China's blue chips rose 1%, while Hong Kong's Hang
Seng index gained 1.7%.
News of the ceasefire saw the dollar extend an overnight
retreat and slip 0.3% to 145.70 yen, having come off a
six-week high of 148 yen overnight. The euro rose 0.2%
to $1.1594 on Tuesday, having gained 0.5% overnight.
The yen and euro benefited from the slide in oil prices as
both the EU and Japan rely heavily on imports of oil and
liquefied natural gas, while the United States is a net
exporter.
"The market was so well hedged against a major tail-risk
event to play out...the actions and the dialogue we've seen
highlight that the tail risks have not and will highly unlikely
materialise," said Chris Weston, head of Research at
Pepperstone.
Ten-year Treasury yields were 2 basis points
higher at 4.35%, having declined 5 bps overnight after Federal
Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said the time
to cut interest rates was getting nearer as risks to the job
market may be on the rise.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell will have his own chance to comment
when appearing before Congress later on Tuesday and, so far, has
been more cautious about a near-term easing.
Markets still only imply around a 22% chance the Fed will
cut at its next meeting on July 30.
The risk-on mood saw gold prices ease 0.6% to $3,346 an
ounce.