*
Asian stocks rise amid U.S. inflation data and trade war
pause
*
Fed cautious on rate cuts due to economic uncertainty from
tariffs
*
Dollar remains under pressure as investors reduce U.S.
asset
holdings
(Updates to Asia afternoon)
By Rocky Swift
TOKYO, May 14 (Reuters) - Stocks climbed in Asia on
Wednesday while the dollar wobbled as relatively benign U.S.
inflation data kept alive the prospect of rate cuts by the
Federal Reserve later this year even as investors were still
gauging if the worst of the trade conflicts were over.
As U.S. President Donald Trump's global trade war appeared
to hit pause, led by a truce in the tariff spat between China
and the United States, financial markets remained nervous about
the outlook.
"I'm just a little bit cautious here about chasing the rally
in stocks at this level," said IG analyst Tony Sycamore.
"We've got to wait to see what happens with regards to
headlines and the framework around further tariff negotiations
with other countries, but you know at this point of time the
worst-case scenario has been priced out."
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was 1.1% higher after U.S. stocks climbed back
into positive territory for the year, erasing losses triggered
by Trump's chaotic rollout of sweeping tariffs.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng index jumped 1.4%, lifted by
tech stocks after Chinese e-commerce retailer JD.com ( JD )
posted strong results. Investor focus this week will be on
earnings from Tencent ( TCTZF ) and Alibaba ( BABA ).
Equity futures pointed to retreats in European markets
and a flat day on Wall Street.
Data overnight showing softer-than-expected U.S. consumer
inflation also provided some relief to investors worried about
the inflationary impact of U.S. tariff policies, which had
severely undercut expectations of near term Fed rate cuts.
Though traders expect inflation to pick up as tariffs lift
import costs, the uncertainty over the outlook remains as
Washington moves ahead to strike deals with its trading
partners.
Global sentiment turned up after a trade deal with the U.S.
and Britain last week, and improved further when U.S. and China
said on Monday they would pause their trade war for 90 days,
bringing down reciprocal duties and removing other measures
while they negotiate a more permanent arrangement.
Trump in an interview on Tuesday said he could see himself
dealing directly with Chinese President Xi Jinping on details of
a trade pact. His touted "potential deals" with India, Japan and
South Korea are still pending.
"We have lingering headwinds and uncertainty when it comes
to trade negotiations with other economies and we still have a
90 day deadline hanging over U.S.-China trade relations," said
Frederic Neumann, chief Asia economist at HSBC.
"Investors are not jumping with two feet in into taking on
risk again because of these lingering uncertainties," he added.
The Fed has warned of rising economic uncertainty,
signalling it's prepared to wait for some time to assess the
impact of U.S. tariffs before moving to cut interest rates
again.
The U.S. dollar, which has taken a beating recently on the
back of the economic and policy uncertainty, dropped 0.4%
against the yen to 146.88, and was little changed at
$1.1189 against the euro. The dollar index was little
changed after a 0.8% slide in the previous session.
Global asset managers held their biggest underweight
position in the dollar in 19 years in May, Bank of America's
global fund manager survey showed on Tuesday.
Japan's Nikkei gauge slid 0.4%, trimming a 1.4% advance on
Tuesday.
With the U.S. inflation figures behind markets, the next
major signal for U.S. economic health is retail sales data for
April due on Thursday. The same day, talks are planned between
Ukraine and Russia in Istanbul with hopes of a ceasefire three
years into the deadliest conflict in Europe since World War Two.
Global asset managers held their biggest underweight
position in the dollar in 19 years in May, as Trump's trade
policy cut investor appetite for U.S. assets, Bank of America's
global fund manager survey (FMS) showed on Tuesday.
The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes
slid 2 basis points to 4.4768%.
U.S. crude dipped 0.5% to $63.35 a barrel, holding
near a two-week high. Spot gold was slightly lower at
$3222.08 per ounce.
(Editing by Shri Navaratnam; Editing by Michael Perry)