(Updates to midday U.S. market trading)
* Oil surges above $100 a barrel then gives up some gains
* Wall Street, global stocks skid
* Bond yields advance, Fed fund futures ease on inflation
risk
* Dollar in demand as source of liquidity, euro drops
By Lawrence Delevingne and Nell Mackenzie
BOSTON/LONDON, March 9 (Reuters) - Global stock prices
fell on Monday and investors desperate for liquidity bid up the
U.S. dollar, as surging oil priceslooked likely to stoke
inflation around the globe, leading central banks to raise
interest rates.
Crude oil futures in London and New York soared almost 30% in
early trading to nearly $120 a barrel, one of the biggest
one-day jumps on record, threatening to raise costs of products
from gasoline to jet fuel. Oil pared gains, with U.S. crude
last up5.45% at $95.85 a barrel and Brent at
$98.66 per barrel, up 6.34%.
Soaring energy prices triggered a wave of global stock and bond
market selling. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell
0.8%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.5%, and the Nasdaq Composite
slid 0.23% as of midday.
Iran named Mojtaba Khamenei to succeed his father Ali
Khamenei as Supreme Leader, signalling that hardliners remained
in charge a week into the war with the U.S. and Israel. U.S.
President Donald Trump had declared the son "unacceptable."
With hostilities continuing and tankers fearing Iranian drone
attacks unable to cross the Strait of Hormuz, investors were
bracing for a long stretch of higher energy costs.
Investors awaited Washington's response, said Helima Croft,
head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets. "With
no clear definition of what winning looks like, it is hard to
forecast whether this will be a multi-week or multi-month
conflict."
GLOBAL MARKETS SINK
European shares tumbled to their lowest in more than two
months, with the pan-European STOXX 600 down 1.76% in a
third session of losses. The benchmark index shed 5.5% last
week, its worst weekly performance in nearly a year.
The oil price spike was sobering for major oil importers in
Asian markets, with Japan's Nikkei closing down 5.2%
after a 5.5% drop.
China, another big oil importer albeit with a huge stockpile of
crude, saw its blue-chip index fall roughly 1%. China
on Monday said inflation had already picked up in February
before the current oil surge, with consumer prices rising 1.3%
on the year, not necessarily a negative development, given the
country has long struggled with disinflation.
Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at Morgan Stanley
Wealth Management, wrote in a note on Monday that the U.S.
equity market may still seem placid but there are "extreme"
rotations and stock dispersions beneath the surface.
"Over the past 80 years, war-induced oil shocks have not
been kind to equities, as nearly every episode has catalyzed a
recession and market sell-off," Shalett wrote.
CENTRAL BANKS FACE INFLATION CONUNDRUM
In bond markets, the risk of rising inflation outweighed
safe-haven considerations to shove yields higher globally. The
move was more subdued in the U.S., with yields on 10-year
Treasury notes up 0.6 basis points to 4.132%, up
from a trough of 3.926% just a week ago.
Interest rate futures slipped as investors feared the
risk of higher inflation would make it harder for the Federal
Reserve to ease policy, though disappointing U.S. jobs numbers
seemed to argue for stimulus.
Data on U.S. consumer prices due on Wednesday is forecast to
show the annual rate holding at 2.4% in February.
The Fed's preferred measure of core inflation due on Friday
is forecast to hold at 3.0%, well above the central bank's 2%
target, and analysts see a risk of an even higher number.
The danger of energy-driven inflation has led markets to
wager the next move in rates from the European Central Bank
could be up, possibly as early as June.
For the Bank of England, markets have shifted to pricing
just a 40% chance of one more easing, compared with two cuts or
more before the Middle East conflict started.
Nervous investors sought the liquidity of dollars while
shunning currencies from countries that are net energy
importers, including Japan and much of Europe.
The dollar jumped 0.25% to trade at 158.19 yen,
outweighing safe-haven demand and pushing gold down about 1.36%
to $5,099 an ounce. The euro slipped 0.27% to $1.158
. In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin gained 2.85% to
$69,133.52.