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World shares index just a few points from record highs
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European and US markets both at all-time peaks
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Bond market borrowing costs edge higher after US CPI
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Bitcoin bustles to new high, oil rangebound
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Graphic: World FX rates http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh
By Marc Jones
LONDON, March 13 (Reuters) - World shares held close to
record highs on Wednesday thanks to new all-time peaks in Europe
and on Wall Street, as investors bet hotter-than-expected U.S.
inflation won't stop the Federal Reserve and other central banks
from cutting interest rates.
Asian shares hit seven-month highs overnight as a number of
tech sectors made gains, but Europe went even better early on by
squeezing out its fifth record high in six sessions.
Volatility in currency markets remained low, however, much
to the disappointment of FX dealers and despite the European
Central Bank being set to publish its highly anticipated
operational framework review later in the day.
The dollar, euro, yen and pound
were all little changed on the day, and though the yen
looks ready to pounce if Japan finally raises interest rates
next week, the dollar hasn't moved by more than 1% in either
direction since November.
"We are in a very, very short-term, interest rate-driven
market where the overall story is a huge coalescence of
expectations for rate cuts (by the Fed, ECB and BoE) around
June," Societe Generale strategist Kit Juckes said.
"The big issue is euro-dollar, if they (Fed and ECB) are
both going to cut three times this year ... if all rates move in
parallel with each other FX has nothing to go on," he added.
Benchmark U.S. and European bond market yields that tend to
drive global borrowing costs were at one-week highs after
Tuesday's U.S. inflation upside surprise.
But the risk takers were still in charge there too, with the
gap between Italian and German 10-year yields shrinking to a
fresh 26-month low.
The latest rise in Europe's stock prices was driven by the
region's retailers as solid results from Zara-owner
Inditex and a 14% surge in Zalando shares
more than offset news of Adidas' first loss in 30
years due to its Kanye West problems.
Bitcoin bustled to its third straight record high at $73,400
as cryptomarkets continued to sizzle ahead of what is
known as a 'halving' where it effectively becomes tougher to
mine the currency.
SUBDUED
Overnight, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares
outside Japan ended lower after touching its
highest level since early August.
China's property stocks took another knock amid the ongoing
problems there, while Tokyo's Nikkei also finished in
the red as investors took profits on some of its near 20% surge
since early December.
U.S. stock index futures were also subdued as investors
awaited a slew of economic data this week, including producer
prices on Thursday and retail sales numbers, for more clues on
the Fed's rate-cut path.
The benchmark S&P 500 climbed to a fresh record high on
Tuesday as Oracle shares surged and slightly hot
consumer price data failed to dampen investors' hopes for
interest rate cuts in the coming months.
Traders now see a 66% chance of the first rate cut coming in
June, the CME FedWatch Tool showed. Since March 2022, the Fed
has raised its policy rate by 525 basis points to the current
5.25% to 5.50% range.
"While the February CPI data was noisy across segments, we
believe the U.S. economy continues to be in good shape and is
heading for a soft landing," said Mark Haefele, chief investment
officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, in a note.
Dow e-minis and S&P 500 e-minis barely
budged in Europe, while Nasdaq 100 e-minis were
fractionally lower.
The yen, which has been lifted from lows by
growing expectations of a rate rise in Japan, was about 0.2%
firmer at 147.33 per dollar after news of more wage hikes at
large Japanese companies.
"We think the rate lift-off could happen in the March
meeting, following the annual wage negotiation outcome to be
announced this Friday," said MUFG analyst Lloyd Chan.
In commodities, higher yields yanked gold from near
record levels and it was last at $2,157 an ounce. Crude futures
have been rangebound for several weeks. Brent was last
0.5% stronger at $82.36 a barrel.
(Additional reporting by Tom Westbrook in Sydney
Editing by Mark Potter)