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China stocks record best week since 2008
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Yen jumps as Ishiba set to become Japan's next PM
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Traders ramp up bets of ECB rate cut in October
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US PCE data softer than expected
(Updates prices as of 1241 GMT)
By Stella Qiu and Sruthi Shankar
SYDNEY/LONDON, Sept 27 (Reuters) - China's big stimulus
steps and benign U.S. inflation data pushed global stocks to
all-time highs on Friday, while the yen firmed sharply against
the dollar after Japan's former defence minister Shigeru Ishiba
looked set to become the next prime minister.
Europe's benchmark STOXX 600 index rose 0.5% to
touch a record high, with the German DAX, France's CAC
40 and Britain's FTSE 100 rising between 0.3%
and 1.2%.
Futures signalled the S&P 500 was set to build on
gains after notching a record high on Thursday. Data showed the
personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index - the
Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation - pointed to a
further cooling of price pressures in August.
Traders in turn added to bets that the Fed will deliver a
second 50-basis-point interest rate cut in November.
The dollar weakened by as much as 1.5% to 142.60 against the
yen, reversing earlier gains of about 1% when traders
were bracing for hardline nationalist Sanae Takaichi, a vocal
opponent of rising borrowing costs, to become Japan's premier.
Ishiba, who won a closely fought contest in his fifth
attempt to lead the ruling Liberal Democratic Party, has said
the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is on the "right policy track" by ending
negative rates.
"Ishiba's victory is a relief for the BoJ as he generally
supports the BoJ's policy normalisation," said Min Joo Kang,
senior economist for South Korea And Japan at ING.
"Moreover, his fiscal policy should focus on reviving the
regional economy, which should also support sustainable
inflation and growth. We believe that the upcoming inflation
results and the Fed's interest rate actions will be the key to
gauge the BOJ's next move."
The dollar was last down 1.4% against the yen at 142.84 yen,
while futures tracking the Nikkei stock index dropped
about 5%.
CHINESE STIMULUS SPREADS CHEER
MSCI's world stocks index rose 0.4%, also
touching a new high, thanks to a big turnaround in Chinese
shares as Beijing ramped up pledges to revive sputtering
economic growth.
China's blue chips jumped 4.5%, bringing their
weekly rise to 15.7%, the most since November 2008. Hong Kong's
Hang Seng index also gained 3.6% and was up 13% for the
week, its best performance since 1998.
"We think there is further upside but a lot will depend on
the specific details in the coming days around the fiscal
stimulus," said Kiran Ganesh, multi-asset strategist at UBS
Global Wealth Management.
"If this is something more about stabilisation, then maybe
it doesn't have as big a global economic impact. But if this is
a long-term measure to increase the amount of fiscal spending
the government is doing, then that could be positive for global
growth."
They see a further upside of close to 10% in Shanghai
stocks.
China's central bank lowered interest rates and injected
liquidity into the banking system, and more fiscal measures are
expected to be announced before week-long Chinese holidays
starting on Oct. 1.
Commodities have had a good week on the back of the
stimulus. Iron ore clambered back above $100 a metric
ton and copper broke above the key $10,000 a ton mark.
Oil was set for heavy weekly losses on a report that Saudi
Arabia was preparing to abandon its unofficial price target of
$100 a barrel for crude as it gets ready to increase output.
Brent futures dipped 0.1% to $71.50 a barrel, and
are down 3.9% for the week. That should be good for global
disinflation as central banks ramp up rate cuts, and bullish for
consumer spending.
MORE ECB CUTS EXPECTED
The euro fell as much as 0.5% to $1.1125 after
data showed French consumer prices rose less than anticipated in
September and Spain's European Union-harmonised 12-month
inflation fell to 1.7% - the lowest reading since June 2023.
However, broad dollar losses following the U.S. data helped
the euro bounce off its lows, and it was last trading flat at
$1.1186.
Money markets priced in an 80% chance of an ECB rate cut in
October from around 20% early this week and 60% before the data.
"The trend of more rate cuts than investors may have
expected is something to position for," said UBS' Ganesh.
U.S. Treasury yields pulled back, having risen overnight on
low U.S. weekly jobless claims data. Two-year Treasury yields
slipped 3.3 basis points (bps) to 3.5878%, while
10-year yields also dropped around 3 bps to 3.7563%.