* Investors wary as Iran reviews US proposal
* Stocks and gold slip while oil advances
* Markets worried about energy price shocks
(Updates with European market moves)
By Marc Jones and Ankur Banerjee
LONDON/SINGAPORE, March 26 (Reuters) - Stock markets
fell on Thursday as oil jumped to $105 a barrel, with Iran's
denial of any talks with the U.S. deepening doubts over a quick
ceasefire in the near one-month-long Middle East war.
Conflicting signals over the scope of contact, plus reports
of thousands of U.S. troops being sent to the region, snapped a
three-day rebound in world stocks and reignited selling in
global debt markets.
After falls in Asia - where the Philippines held an
unscheduled central bank meeting due to the turmoil - European
stocks and government bond prices dropped as Germany's
central bank head said an ECB rate hike next month was "an
option".
Oil and European natural gas jumped more than 3%, with Brent
just over $106 a barrel and gas at 54.5 euros per
megawatt hour, lifting their respective gains for the
month to 45% and 70%.
"I think we'll have enough data by April to determine
whether we need to take action or whether we can wait and see,"
Germany's central bank chief Joachim Nagel said during an
interview with Reuters regarding a possible ECB rate hike.
"But we shouldn't shy away from it now just because we think
it's still too early."
U.S. President Donald Trump repeated on Thursday that Iran
was "begging" to make a deal to end the war. Iran's Foreign
Minister Abbas Araqchi had earlier countered that Tehran was
reviewing a U.S. proposal but had no intention of holding
talks.
The war, triggered by U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran in late
February, has rattled global markets and effectively shut the
Strait of Hormuz, a conduit for a fifth of global oil and
liquefied natural gas flows.
Germany's two-year bond yield, sensitive to
European Central Bank rate expectations, rose 6 basis points to
2.67%, after falling 4 bps on Wednesday. Bond yields move
inversely to prices.
The U.S. two-year yield was nearing 4%, while
Japan's hit its highest level in 30 years at 1.33%,
as traders cemented bets on another Bank of Japan rate hike as
early as next month.
Prolonged disruption in the Strait could keep energy prices
and inflation elevated, forcing central banks to tighten, said
Pascal Koeppel, chief investment officer at Vontobel SFA.
"If we saw (U.S.) ground troops in action, that would make
me much more nervous," Koeppel added. If that happened, "we
would trim risk... and go more into short-term government bonds
and gold, of course".
STRUCTURAL SHIFTS
Wall Street futures pointed to a lower open, and Asian
markets fell overnight.
Japan's Nikkei ended down 0.3%, while worries over
rising energy costs hammered South Korea's KOSPI, which
slumped 3.2%.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 1.9% and China's blue
chips dropped 1.3%, leaving MSCI's index of
Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan on track for a
9.5% monthly fall, its biggest since October 2022.
In currencies, the dollar held near recent highs and
is heading for a 2% gain this month, reviving its safe-haven
appeal after last year's more than 9% slide.
Fears of a 2022-style inflation shock have seen traders
fully price out any chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut this
year, further supporting the dollar.
Gold, another traditional safety play, has dropped
more than 16% this month - on course for its steepest fall since
October 2008. It was down 2% at $4,421 per ounce on Thursday,
though still almost 50% higher than a year ago.
"If you look at what the U.S. wants to achieve, what Israel
wants to achieve, and what Tehran wants to achieve, it will be
very hard to reconcile all these points," said Matthias
Scheiber, senior portfolio manager and the head of the
multi-asset team at Allspring Global Investments.
"We still think there is a case to make for structurally
higher energy prices for the moment."