*
Tesla shares fall as Musk-Trump spat restarts
*
Powell's doesn't rule out July cut
*
U.S. manufacturing contracts, job market shows mixed
signals
(Updates with open of US markets)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, July 1 (Reuters) - Global shares edged lower
and the dollar was lower for a ninth straight session on
Tuesday, as investors digested a flurry of U.S. economic data
and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to gauge
the timing of any interest rate cuts.
Powell, speaking at a central banking conference in Sintra,
Portugal, said he could not say if July was too early for a rate
cut, but it "is going to depend on the data, and we are going
meeting by meeting".
Market expectations for a July cut inched up to 21.2% from
18.6% in the prior session, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.
On Wall Street, the Dow advanced but the S&P 500 and Nasdaq
retreated from record levels weighed down by a drop of more than
5% in Tesla after U.S. President Donald Trump
threatened to cut off the billions of dollars in subsidies that
Elon Musk's companies receive from the federal government.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 227.77 points,
or 0.52%, to 44,322.06, the S&P 500 fell 19.78 points, or
0.32%, to 6,185.17 and the Nasdaq Composite fell 181.49
points, or 0.89%, to 20,190.00.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe fell
1.69 points, or 0.18%, to 916.20 while the pan-European STOXX
600 index fell 0.3% as concerns over the impact of
tariffs on global growth were rekindled as a July 9 deadline by
Trump draws closer.
On the economic front, U.S. data showed manufacturing
remained in contraction territory in June, according to the
Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
In the first reading of the week on the labor market, the
Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS report, showed
openings were up 374,000 to 7.769 million by the last day of
May, but a decline in hiring indicated the market may have
slowed.
"Despite a large jump in job openings in May, the economy
continues to be stuck in Powell's 'no hire, no fire'
equilibrium," said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex
Wealth Management in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.
"It's not a stable equilibrium and considering the ISM
Manufacturing data, things may tilt towards a weaker job market
over the summer."
Investors will closely watch Thursday's key government
payrolls report, expected a day earlier than usual due to the
Independence Day holiday on July 4, to help shape expectations
for rate cuts from the Fed.
U.S. Treasury yields reversed course and turned higher after
the data, with the yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
up 2.9 basis points to 4.255%.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in
step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve,
rose 4.3 basis points to 3.764%.
Markets were also awaiting a resolution to Trump's tax-cut
and spending legislation, which U.S. Senate Republicans were
struggling to pass.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies and is coming off its biggest
first half drop since 1973, rose 0.09% to 96.85, with the euro
down 0.08% at $1.1776. Sterling weakened 0.17% to
$1.3709.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.34%
to 143.52. Earlier readings from the Bank of Japan's tankan
index of business sentiment indicated the biggest economies in
the region were probably weathering the tariff storm for now,
while a separate private sector survey showed the country's
manufacturing sector expanded in June for the first time in 13
months.
U.S. crude rose 0.48% to $65.42 a barrel and Brent
rose to $66.92 per barrel, up 0.27% on the day.