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European stocks and U.S. futures higher after Fed cut
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Dollar clings to gains, analysts see more weakness though
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French bond yields shift above low-rated Italy's
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Stocks and the dollar nudged
higher on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve's first
interest rate cut of the year, while French politics kept its
markets jittery and the pound held its ground ahead of a Bank of
England rate decision.
The Fed's steady-as-she-goes-message from what had been a
politically charged meeting lifted both the pan-European STOXX
600 and Wall Street futures 0.5%, despite
an initially mixed reaction from U.S. traders on Wednesday.
Asia had rallied overnight too. Chinese stocks hit a 10-year
high as local chipmakers cheered reports of U.S. giant Nvidia
being banned there, while South Korea, Taiwan
and Japan's Nikkei all ended more than 1% higher.
There may have also been an element of relief to see the
dollar nearly 0.2% higher in the currency market following a
plunge to a 3-1/2-year low this week that has left non-U.S.
exporting firms grinding their teeth.
The Fed's closely watched "dot plot" had pointed to two more
rate cuts over its remaining two meetings this year, but only
one additional reduction in 2026.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell had also tempered expectations,
saying the central bank did not need to move quickly from here,
although analysts acknowledge that could easily change.
"We try to look through one or two days' volatility for the
underlying trends," RBC Capital Markets' Richard Cochinos said.
"In this instance, we continue to expect a weaker U.S. dollar,"
pointing to expectations of U.S. rates dropping to 3% next year.
Europe's traders kept the euro broadly steady at
$1.1825 and sterling was an unchanged $1.36 with the
BoE widely anticipated to keep UK rates at 4% later.
Most interest will be on whether the British central bank
slows the 100 billion-pound-a-year pace at which it reduces its
government bond holdings following the recent increase in
volatility in UK bond markets.
A Reuters poll showed economists expect the Monetary Policy
Committee to slow the pace to a median 67.5 billion pounds
($92.2 billion) - a bigger drop than the fall to 72 billion
pounds in the BoE's own poll in August.
The Norwegian crown softened a touch in response to an
already announced 25 basis point rate cut from its central bank
early. It was still close to a near-three high against the
dollar and around two-month high against the euro
.
The Chinese yuan had ticked higher meanwhile after
China's central bank left the borrowing cost of its seven-day
reverse repurchase agreements unchanged overnight, while New
Zealand's dollar tumbled after data showed the country's economy
shrinking far more than expected.
FRENCH FOCUS
The Australian dollar also slipped 0.4% from an almost
one-year high reached on Wednesday, after the release of
weaker-than-expected labour market data for August.
Bond markets were still rallying though with the yield on
benchmark 10-year Treasury notes dropping to 4.06%
and the two-year yield, which rises with traders'
expectations of higher Fed funds rates, at 3.53%.
Germany's 10-year yield, the benchmark for the
euro zone bloc, also fell 0.5 basis points to 2.67%, though
focus was also on France's political strains again as its bond
yields shifted above Italy's.
In the commodity markets, oil prices dipped, with Brent
crude last down 0.2% at $67.87 per barrel, while
safe-haven gold nudged 0.2% higher to $3,665 per ounce.