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Wall St futures broadly steady, European stocks up
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Euro shows little reaction to Fitch downgrade of France
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Rate cuts seen from Fed, BoC; steady for BoE, BOJ
(Updates headline, prices)
By Wayne Cole and Amanda Cooper
SYDNEY/LONDON, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Global shares traded
steadily near record highs on Monday at the start of an
action-packed week that looks certain to see the U.S. Federal
Reserve resume its easing cycle, and perhaps leave the door wide
open to a series of cuts.
The Bank of Canada is also expected to cut rates by a
quarter point this week, while the Bank of Japan and the Bank of
England are both expected to hold rates steady.
MSCI's all-country index hovered just shy of
last week's record highs, while stocks in Europe rose
0.3%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were both
steady.
Markets are 100% priced for an easing of 25 basis points
from the Fed, taking its funds rate to 4.0-4.25%, with futures
implying just a 4% chance of 50 basis points.
Just as important will be Fed members' "dot plot"
projections for rates and guidance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell
on the extent and pace of any further easing.
Futures already have 125 basis points of cuts priced in by
late 2026, so anything less than dovish will disappoint
investors.
"The key question for the September FOMC meeting is whether
the Committee will signal that this is likely the first in a
series of consecutive cuts," said David Mericle, chief U.S.
economist at Goldman Sachs.
"We expect the statement to acknowledge the softening in the
labor market but do not expect a change to the policy guidance
or a nod to an October cut."
U.S. President Donald Trump continued his attacks on the
central bank on Sunday, saying Powell was incompetent and
hurting the housing market.
"Uncertainty surrounding the future path for Fed policy
means that some traders are now bracing for volatility around
Wednesday's Fed decision, with options markets pricing in a 1%
swing in either direction, which would be one of the biggest
daily moves in weeks," XTB research director Kathleen Brooks
said.
Meanwhile, the euro offered little reaction to Fitch's
downgrade of France.
The single currency edged up 0.1% to $1.1738, a
short way from its recent top of $1.1780. It was a touch weaker
against sterling, trading at 86.42 pence, down 0.1% on the day
.
The euro has been underpinned by a steady outlook for EU
rates, with the European Central Bank signalling last week it
was in a "good place" on policy. A host of ECB officials are due
to speak this week, including President Christine Lagarde.
Elsewhere, the dollar eased 0.2% against the yen to 147.42
, while the Norwegian crown rose to multi-month highs
against the euro and to a 2023 high against the
dollar ahead of the Norges Bank policy meeting later
this week.
CHINA DATA MISSES
In Asian markets, Chinese blue-chip shares rose
0.2%, as did Hong Kong's Hang Seng index as investors
redoubled bets on Chinese tech shares amid Sino-U.S. trade
talks.
Talks between U.S. and Chinese officials on their strained
trade ties on Monday entered a second day in Madrid. Trump said
he was still negotiating on the divestiture deadline for Chinese
short-video app TikTok.
Data released on Monday showed the Chinese economy lost some
momentum in August, with a slew of activity indicators - from
industrial output to retail sales - coming below forecasts.
Falls in property investment deepened, while home prices
declined another 0.3% in August, extending a downward trend that
has persisted since early 2023.
"Given the slowdown of the past few months, we expect that
there's a strong case for additional short-term stimulus
efforts," said Lynn Song, ING's chief economist, Greater China.
"We continue to see a high possibility for another 10bp
rate cut and 50bp reserve-requirement-ratio cut in the coming
weeks."
In the commodities market, oil prices extended gains as
investors assessed the impact of Ukrainian drone attacks on
Russian refineries that could disrupt its crude and fuel
exports.
Brent crude rose 0.2% to $67.143 a barrel. Gold,
meanwhile, was steady at $3,640 an ounce, just below last
week's all-time high of $3,673.95.
(Additional reporting by Wayne Cole and Stella Qiu; Editing by
Muralikumar Anantharaman, Jamie Freed and Christina Fincher)