(Updated at 0810 GMT)
By Huw Jones
LONDON, May 31 (Reuters) - Global shares were little
changed on Friday in subdued trading as investors hunkered down
for key U.S inflation figures that will shape the Federal
Reserve's thinking on interest rates when it meets mid-June.
The dollar was steady against peer currencies ahead
of the U.S. inflation data.
Oil was slightly weaker after Fed officials said it
was too soon to start considering rate cuts, and following a
surprise build in U.S. gasoline stocks.
The MSCI All Country Stock index was flat at
780.9 points, down nearly 2% on the week, though still up more
than 7% for the year.
In Europe, the STOXX index of 600 companies was
lower and headed for a second week of declines, thought still
likely to show gains for May.
"The big driver in the market at the moment is the same old
story of when is the Fed going to pivot and start cutting
rates," said Mark Ellis, CEO of Nutshell Asset Management.
The VIX index, dubbed Wall Street's 'fear gauge', has
begun rising again, he noted.
"Although stock markets have performed strongly in May, just
in the last week it seems very stressed. I'm expecting that to
subside today, and seasonally the first week of June is pretty
good for markets," Ellis added.
Policymakers at the Fed who next meet on June 11-12, said on
Thursday that they continue to expect inflation to fall this
year even as the labor market stays strong, leaving them in no
hurry to cut borrowing costs.
There will get a fresh read on inflation's progress at 1230
GMT with the Commerce Department's publication of the monthly
U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index, widely
viewed as the Fed's preferred inflation gauge.
Economists estimate it rose 2.7% in April from a year ago;
the Fed targets a 2% pace.
Euro zone inflation figures are due at 0900 GMT, though
analysts say the data is unlikely to alter the European Central
Bank's widely flagged intention to cut interest rates by 25
basis points when it meets next Thursday, though the path of
further cuts remains unclear.
Ellis said expectation that the ECB will move before the Fed
in cutting rates, the opposite to what has historically
happened, is largely priced into markets.
U.S. stock index futures were flat
to weaker ahead of Wall Street's open, where the opening tone
will be determined by the inflation data.
Analysts said they expect little impact on Wall Street from
news that Donald Trump has become the first U.S. president to be
convicted of a crime ahead of a November vote when he will try
to win back the White House from Democratic President Joe Biden.
ASIA WEAKER
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
was down 0.5%. The index was set for a gain of
about 2.7% in May, rising for the fourth straight month.
China stocks were down 0.4%, while Hong Kong's
Hang Seng index was off 0.6%.
China's manufacturing activity unexpectedly fell in May, an
official factory survey showed on Friday. The soft outcome kept
alive calls for fresh stimulus as a protracted property crisis
continues to weigh on businesses, consumers and investors.
Traders are also looking over their shoulders for any hints
of intervention from the Tokyo authorities as the Japanese yen
flirts with levels that led to suspected bouts of
intervention late in April and early this month.
The yen was last at 157.165 per dollar, having touched
four-week lows of 157.715 on Wednesday. The currency weakened to
its lowest in 34 years at 160.245 on April 29, sparking at least
two suspected rounds of interventions.
Data on Friday showed core consumer prices in Japan's
capital rose 1.9% in May on rising electricity bills but price
growth excluding the effect of fuel eased, heightening
uncertainty on the timing of the central bank's next interest
rate hike.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six rivals, was trading at 104.84, on course for 1.4%
decline in May, snapping a four-month winning streak.
The euro was slightly down at $1.0823 ahead of
euro zone inflation data for May.
In commodities, oil prices eased after a surprise build in
U.S. gasoline stocks weighed on the market. Brent
futures was down 0.2% at $81.70 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas
Intermediate (WTI) crude was down 0.2% at $77.69.
Gold, set for a fourth straight monthly gains, was
trading at $2,339 per ounce.
(Editing by Shri Navaratnam, Stephen Coates and Giles Elgood)