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Gold topples $4,000 mark, shows no sign of stopping
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Political turmoil in France in spotlight, dents euro
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Yen at lowest since February; intervention risk rises
(Adds comment in paragraph 5, updates prices)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Oct 8 (Reuters) - Global shares rose on
Wednesday, as investors latched on to the prospect of lower
interest rates, shaking off political drama in France and Japan,
while a prolonged U.S. government shutdown catapulted gold
beyond $4,000 per ounce for the first time.
The prospect of a series of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve
and safe-haven demand stemming from economic and political
worries have lifted the gold price by 50% this year to above
$4,000 an ounce.
Traditionally, gold is seen as a store of value during times of
instability. This rally, driven by demand from central banks,
fund managers and retail traders alike, has had a tailwind of a
weaker dollar too.
HEDGE EVERYTHING
"It's obviously benefiting from uncertainty around valuation
of stocks. It's benefiting from the uncertainties in the bond
market. The weakness of the dollar is benefiting gold as well,"
said Chris Iggo, chief investment officer for core investments
at AXA Investment Managers.
"It's not a small market, but it's small compared to the
equity market or the bond market, so people are willing to
increase their allocations to gold as a hedge against everything
else," he said.
European stocks rose 0.6%, as gains in banking
shares helped offset a drop in autos, led by a 7% decline in BMW
shares after the German luxury carmaker cut its 2025
earnings forecast.
U.S. stock futures were up 0.2%, hinting at more
gains in New York later on.
In France, caretaker Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu said on
Wednesday a deal could potentially be reached on the country's
budget by year-end, making the risk of a snap election more
remote.
His cautiously optimistic tone helped a modest rally in French
bonds, leaving OAT yields down 5.3 basis points on the day at
3.52%, but did little to support the euro, which
headed for its third daily loss in a row, trading around
one-month lows at $1.1629.
"It's another prime minister and it has been pretty volatile,"
Nina Stanojevic, senior investment specialist at St. James's
Place, said.
"It raises two areas of uncertainty - first around fiscal
packages being pushed through and whether we get another snap
election on the horizon, which would affect French OATs."
YEN SLIDES
Political shifts have also driven Japan's yen lower this week.
The currency has hit eight-month lows as investors
await word from prime minister-in-waiting Sanae Takaichi on her
plans for spending and the economy. It last fetched 152.40 per
U.S. dollar.
Takaichi's victory over the weekend has sparked concern among
investors about the impact of her preference for lower rates and
higher spending on the Bank of Japan, which may struggle to
raise interest rates as much as previously expected, which has,
in turn, weighed on the yen.
The yen is down over 3% this week, on pace for its steepest
weekly decline in a year, which has stirred up concern about
intervention by Japanese authorities.
Hirofumi Suzuki, chief currency strategist at SMBC, said should
the yen head towards 160 within one to two weeks, "FX
intervention by the Japanese government would be viewed as more
likely".
The New Zealand dollar sank nearly 1% after the central
bank slashed its benchmark rate by 50 basis points and kept the
door open for further easing, suggesting policymakers were
worried about the frail state of the economy.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against six others, hit its highest since the end of August,
although sentiment remained dim as the shutdown entered its
eighth day.
The shutdown has also halted the release of a number of key
economic reports. Markets show traders still expect the Federal
Reserve to cut rates by around 45 bps between now and the end of
the year.
Oil rose on Wednesday as investors brushed off concerns over
excess supply this year. Brent crude futures rose 1% to
$66.07 a barrel.