* Fed, ECB, BOJ, BOE to weigh in on economic outlook this
week
* Oil prices rise amid Iran-UAE tensions
* Fed expected to hold rates steady amid current oil
shock
(Updates with close of European markets)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, March 17 (Reuters) - Global stocks rose on
Tuesday for a second straight session, even as the war in Iran
continued to drive up oil prices and ahead of a flurry of policy
announcements from global central banks this week.
Israel said it had killed Iran's security chief, while a
senior Iranian official said the new supreme leader had rejected
de-escalation offers conveyed by intermediaries.
President Donald Trump told reporters the U.S. was not ready
to leave the military operation in Iran yet, but that "we'll be
leaving in pretty much the very near future".
U.S. crude rose 2.28% to $95.63 a barrel and Brent
climbed 2.59% to $102.81 per barrel, supported by
Iranian attacks on the United Arab Emirates that kept supply
fears intact while the Strait of Hormuz remains largely shut.
Both contracts were off earlier gains of about 5%, but remain up
more than 40% for the month.
MAJOR S&P SECTORS ADVANCE
On Wall Street, U.S. stocks were higher, led by a 1.4% rise
in the S&P 500 energy index. Despite rising fuel costs,
airline and travel stocks also advanced after Delta Air
and American Airlines ( AAL ) flagged strong spring demand.
"The consumer and market are not as worried about inflation
right now as they were maybe a week ago. I think we're starting
to see the forest through the trees where this war is not going
to last forever," said Dennis Dick, founder at Triple D Trading.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 137.81 points,
or 0.29%, to 47,083.55, the S&P 500 gained 27.45 points,
or 0.40%, to 6,726.24 and the Nasdaq Composite climbed
119.96 points, or 0.53%, to 22,493.75.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose
6.47 points, or 0.63%, to 1,014.53 and was on track for its
first back-to-back daily gains in three weeks, while the
pan-European STOXX 600 closed up 0.67%, buoyed by
energy and utilities stocks.
Stocks have struggled since the war in Iran started. HSBC
global equity strategist Alastair Pinder said in a note that
while "talk of a shift toward stagflation is building" the
recent action in equity markets "is more indicative of trading
for a recessionary outcome."
The jump in oil prices and its potential to boost inflation
have prompted markets to adjust expectations for easing by
global central banks this year.
Markets are pricing in about 27 basis points of cuts from
the U.S. Federal Reserve by year-end, down from more than 50
basis points earlier this week, and roughly 35 basis points of
hikes from the European Central Bank after pricing in a modest
chance of a cut as recently as February, according to LSEG data.
While investors were largely not pricing in any cuts from
the Fed at Wednesday's policy announcement, the timing of any
future reductions has been pushed further out this year.
Operations at the UAE's Shah gas field remained suspended on
Tuesday, while a new attack caused a fire in the key oil export
terminal of Fujairah, highlighting how Iran is disrupting energy
flows from the region.
Stock markets rallied on Monday as oil prices dipped on
hopes shipping flows from the Gulf would improve and optimism
about artificial intelligence lifted U.S. tech companies.
CENTRAL BANKS GRAPPLE WITH ENERGY PRICES
The Reserve Bank of Australia voted on Tuesday to hike
interest rates for a second straight month, taking its benchmark
rate to 4.1% and warning of a material inflation risk from the
Middle East war.
Goldman Sachs analysts said the risk of a third straight
hike is "material" but not their base case.
The move set the tone ahead of policy statements this week
from central banks in the U.S., Britain, euro zone, Japan,
Canada, Switzerland and Sweden, all of which will meet for the
first time since the start of the Iran war. Investors will look
for clues on how higher crude prices could influence the rate
outlook.
The Fed is widely expected to hold rates steady, and
policymakers are likely to strike a cautious, if not hawkish,
tone due to the current oil shock.
The shifts in central bank expectations have led to large
moves in government bonds, although that market was subdued on
Tuesday.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell
2.2 basis points to 4.198% but is up about 24 basis points for
March. The two-year note yield, which typically moves
in step with Fed rate expectations, fell 1.5 basis points to
3.665% but is up nearly 29 basis points for the month.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies, shed 0.3% to 99.56, with the
euro up 0.31% at $1.1539.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.06%
to 158.97, just below the key 160 level that has previously
triggered interventions by the Bank of Japan, despite verbal
warnings from Japanese authorities on Tuesday.