* Oil prices ease further after Bessent comments
* Central bank meetings eyed for inflation views
* US stocks higher, led by AI companies
(Updates with open of US markets)
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, March 16 (Reuters) - Global stocks rallied on
Monday after three straight sessions of declines as oil prices
retreated, though the recent surge in crude prices is likely to
alter the inflation outlook and cause most central banks to hold
at their policy meetings this week.
Israel said it has detailed plans for at least three more
weeks of war as its military pounded sites across Iran
overnight, while Iranian drone attacks temporarily shut Dubai
airport and hit a key oil facility in the United Arab Emirates.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday called for a coalition
of nations to help reopen the vital Strait of Hormuz, warning
that the NATO alliance faces a "very bad" future if its members
fail to come to Washington's aid.
Crude extended declines after Treasury Secretary Scott
Bessent said that the U.S. was "fine" with some Iranian, Indian
and Chinese ships going through the strait for now, adding that
any action to alleviate higher prices would depend on how long
the war on Iran lasts.
U.S. crude fell 5.19% to $93.60 a barrel and Brent
fell to $100.56 per barrel, down 2.5% on the day. Both
Brent and U.S. crude have surged nearly 40% in March.
This jump in oil prices and its potential to boost inflation
has led markets to recalibrate expectations for easing policies
from global central banks this year. Markets are currently
pricing in about 25 basis points of cuts from the U.S. Federal
Reserve by the end of the year, and nearly 40 basis points of
hikes from the European Central Bank, according to LSEG data.
On Wall Street, U.S. stocks were higher in the early stages
of trading, led by AI-linked names such as Nvidia ( NVDA ) and
Meta Platforms ( META ).
"If we had a very extended conflict (in the Middle East),
there are certain aspects to the AI capex story that could be
impeded if there wasn't enough energy, and if there wasn't
enough delivery of the chips and everything that was needed,"
said Steve Edwards, senior investment strategist at Morgan
Stanley Wealth Management.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 534.46 points,
or 1.15%, to 47,092.93, the S&P 500 was up 85.07 points,
or 1.28%, to 6,717.14, and the Nasdaq Composite gained
330.43 points, or 1.49%, to 22,435.60.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose
11.81 points, or 1.18%, to 1,011.02, and was on pace for its
biggest daily percentage gain since February 6. The pan-European
STOXX 600 index rose 0.79% and was on track to snap a
three-session streak of declines.
Commerzbank's shares shot up about 9% after
Italy's UniCredit launched a bid for an additional
stake in the German lender.
ALL THE CENTRAL BANKS
Central banks in the U.S., Britain, euro zone, Japan,
Australia, Canada, Switzerland and Sweden will this week all
hold their first meetings since the start of the war, and
investors will look for clues on how rising crude prices could
impact the interest-rate path.
The sharp shifts in central bank expectations have led to
large moves in government bonds.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
fell 5.9 basis points to 4.226%, though is still up about 27 bps
for March, as market participants dialed back the timing and
magnitude for expected rate cuts.
The U.S. Fed is largely expected to hold rates steady at its
policy announcement on Wednesday, and policymakers are more
likely to strike a cautious if not outright hawkish tone this
week due to the current oil shock.
Rate-sensitive, shorter-dated yields have seen sharper
moves, and two-year German yields have risen 38 basis
points, while the equivalent British gilt yield has
surged 55 bps.
A cautiously steady outcome is expected from the other
central bank meetings, excluding the Reserve Bank of Australia,
which is seen as likely to raise its cash rate a quarter point
to 4.1%, as it battles resurgent inflation at home.
The heightened volatility in markets has tended to benefit
the U.S. dollar as a safe haven. The United States is also a net
energy exporter, giving it a relative advantage over Europe and
much of Asia, which are net importers.
But the dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies, fell 0.48% to 99.86, after
touching a 10-month high on Friday, with the euro up
0.68% at $1.1494.