(Adds close of European markets)
* Oil prices ease further after Bessent comments
* Central bank meetings eyed for inflation views
* US stocks higher, led by AI-related companies
By Chuck Mikolajczak
NEW YORK, March 16 (Reuters) - Global stocks rallied on
Monday as oil prices pulled back, though a previous surge in
crude prices is likely to sway the inflation outlook and cause
most central banks to hold rates steady at their policy meetings
this week.
Israel said it has detailed plans for at least three more weeks
of war as its military pounded sites across Iran overnight,
while Iranian drone attacks temporarily shut Dubai airport and
hit a key oil facility in the United Arab Emirates.
U.S. President Donald Trump repeated his call for help to
unblock the Strait of Hormuz after some vessels sailed through
it. In addition, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the U.S.
was "fine" with some Iranian, Indian and Chinese ships going
through the strait for now, adding that any action to alleviate
higher prices would depend on how long the war on Iran lasts.
U.S. crude fell 5.13% to $93.65 a barrel and Brent
fell to $100.28 per barrel, down 2.77% on the day. Both
Brent and U.S. crude have surged nearly 40% in March.
This jump in oil prices and its potential to boost inflation
have led markets to recalibrate expectations for easing policies
from global central banks this year. Markets are currently
pricing in about 25 basis points of cuts from the U.S. Federal
Reserve by the end of the year, and nearly 40 basis points of
hikes from the European Central Bank, according to LSEG data.
On Wall Street, U.S. stocks were higher, led by AI-linked
names such as Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Meta Platforms ( META ).
Meta shares were up 1.8% after Reuters reported the social media
giant plans to lay off 20% or more of its workforce while Nvidia ( NVDA )
gained 2.8% as CEO Jensen Huang began to detail the company's
hardware and software plans at its annual developer conference.
"Nice to see tech bounce back here, it really is the whole
guessing on the de-escalation of Iran and the energy concerns,"
said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at Ingalls &
Snyder in New York.
"Certainly in the near term it's the energy concerns and
then longer-term it's what are you going to do about this very
large country that's a big part of the Middle East?"
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 342.00 points,
or 0.73%, to 46,900.47, the S&P 500 climbed 65.24 points,
or 0.98%, to 6,697.43 and the Nasdaq Composite jumped
273.44 points, or 1.24%, to 22,378.46. Each of the three indexes
was on pace for its biggest daily percentage gain since February
6.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe advanced
10.97 points, or 1.10%, to 1,010.13, and was also on course for
its biggest daily percentage gain since February 6. The
pan-European STOXX 600 index closed up 0.44% to snap a
three-session streak of declines.
Commerzbank's shares shot up about 9% after Italy's
UniCredit launched a bid for an additional stake in
the German lender.
ALL THE CENTRAL BANKS
Central banks in the U.S., Britain, euro zone, Japan,
Australia, Canada, Switzerland and Sweden will this week hold
their first meetings since the start of the Iran war, and
investors will look for clues on how rising crude prices could
impact the interest-rate path.
The sharp shifts in central bank expectations have led to
large moves in government bonds.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year notes
dropped 6.1 basis points to 4.224%, though it is still up about
26 bps for March, as market participants dialed back the timing
and magnitude for expected rate cuts.
The U.S. Fed is largely expected to hold rates steady at its
policy announcement on Wednesday, and policymakers are more
likely to strike a cautious if not outright hawkish tone this
week due to the current oil shock.
There have been sharper moves in rate-sensitive,
shorter-dated yields, and two-year German yields have
jumped 40 basis points this month, while the equivalent British
gilt yield has surged 58 bps.
A cautiously steady outcome is expected from the other central
bank meetings, excluding the Reserve Bank of Australia, which is
seen likely to raise its cash rate a quarter point to 4.1%, as
it battles resurgent inflation at home.
The heightened volatility in markets has tended to benefit
the U.S. dollar as a safe haven. The United States is also a net
energy exporter, giving it a relative advantage over Europe and
much of Asia, which are net importers.
But the dollar index, which measures the greenback
against a basket of currencies, dropped 0.66% to 99.67, after
touching a 10-month high on Friday, with the euro up
0.93% at $1.1522.